Dallas Stars defeat Colorado Avalanche 3-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · NHL · Dallas Stars 3, Colorado Avalanche 2
Dallas Stars defeated Colorado Avalanche 3–2 on Wednesday, October 14, at Ball Arena. The underdog Stars covered the +1.5 spread and the game finished under the 6-goal total.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche final score and game recap
The first period ended scoreless. Both teams scored one goal in the second period to tie it 1–1. The third period saw each team add a goal, knotting the score at 2–2. Dallas scored the decisive goal in the fifth period to complete the 3–2 victory. Casey DeSmith made 25 saves on 27 shots for the Stars. Nazem Kadri recorded two assists for Colorado, while Gabriel Landeskog scored the Avalanche's lone goal.
Who covered the spread in Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche?
Dallas Stars covered as +1.5 underdogs, winning outright by one goal. Colorado entered as a –1.5 favorite. The spread did not move from open to close.
Did Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche go over or under the total?
The game finished under the total, with 5 combined goals against the 6-goal line. The total opened at 5.5 and closed at 6.
How did AiQ's Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche predictions do?
AiQ posted a 77–30 record across all graded picks for this contest.
- AiQ moneyline pick was Colorado Avalanche at –161 and lost.
- AiQ player prop picks were 77–29 overall.
The model correctly identified the underdog covering and the under total, but missed the moneyline favorite.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 77–29. All 12 listed props won:
- Tyler Myers under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Cale Makar under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Thomas Harley under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- T.J. Hughes under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Radek Faksa under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Roope Hintz under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Gabriel Landeskog under 1.5 goals; actual 1 – WIN.
- Arttu Hyry under 1.5 goals; actual 1 – WIN.
- Fedor Svechkov under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Josh Manson under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Sam Steel under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Devon Toews under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
The low-scoring contest drove the vast majority of individual scoring props under their thresholds.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche game prop results: team totals and first period
- Colorado Avalanche team total 3.5: Under (paid –134); they scored 2.
- Dallas Stars team total 3.5: Under (paid –260); they scored 3.
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid +100); 0 goals were recorded.
- First-period moneyline: tied, bets refunded.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Dallas Stars at +134 and Colorado Avalanche at –161, implying win probabilities of 41% and 59% after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.4%. Dallas won outright at +134, turning a $100 wager into a $134 profit. AiQ's calibrated estimate for Colorado was 59%, matching the market's implied figure, but the model did not view the listed odds as value at –150, calculating negative expected value of –1.2%.
Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche betting trends: 2026-27 season
Dallas Stars sit at 3–4 overall through seven games, 1–2 at home and 2–2 away/neutral. Against the spread in six games with a recorded closing line, they are 3–3. Over six games with a recorded total, they are 0–6, hitting only unders. Their last five results: W, L, L, W, W.
Colorado Avalanche are 4–3 overall, 2–2 at home and 2–1 away/neutral. Against the spread in six games with a recorded closing line, they are 3–3. Over six games with a recorded total, they are 4–2, favoring overs. Their last five results: L, W, L, W, L.
What's next for Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche?
Dallas hosts Boston Bruins on Tuesday, October 20. Colorado visits New Jersey Devils the same night.