Utah Mammoth defeat Toronto Maple Leafs 5-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Mammoth 5
Utah Mammoth defeated Toronto Maple Leafs 5–4 on Tuesday, October 13, at Delta Center. Toronto covered the spread as a +1.5 underdog despite the loss, while the game sailed over the 6.5 total with nine combined goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth final score and game recap
Utah Mammoth's 5–4 victory was decided by tempo. The home team scored first and built a 5–2 lead by the end of the second period after exploding for four goals in that frame. Toronto answered with two goals in the third but could not close the gap. Auston Matthews and John Tavares each recorded a goal and an assist for Toronto. Dylan Guenther and Mikhail Sergachev did the same for Utah.
Who covered the spread in Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth?
Toronto Maple Leafs covered at +1.5. Utah Mammoth entered as -1.5 favorites and won by exactly one goal, leaving the underdog on the right side of the line. The spread held at Utah Mammoth -1.5 from open to close.
Did Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth go over or under the total?
The game went over the 6.5 total, finishing with nine goals—a 2.5-goal over. Scoring clustered in the second period, when Utah scored four times to pull ahead 5–2.
How did AiQ's Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth predictions do?
AiQ posted a 66–33 record across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Utah Mammoth at -158 — WIN (+$63.29 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 65–33 (overall)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record stood at 65–33. Every listed prop hit the under:
- Vincent Trocheck under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Kirill Marchenko under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Mikhail Sergachev under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Jack Roslovic under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Teddy Blueger under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Kevin Stenlund under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Darren Raddysh under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Anthony Stolarz under 29.5 total saves at -105; actual 23 — WIN
- Anders Lee under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Colton Sissons under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Daniil But under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Lawson Crouse under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth game prop results: team totals and first period
- Utah Mammoth team total 3.5: Over (paid -118); they scored 5
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid +114); 1 goal was recorded
- Toronto Maple Leafs team total 2.5: Over (paid -152); they scored 4
- First-period moneyline: Utah Mammoth won the first period (paid -142)
Utah's early goal set the stage for the first-period under, while both teams exceeded their team-total lines as the game progressed.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Utah Mammoth odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Toronto Maple Leafs +132 and Utah Mammoth -158, implying a 41% chance for Toronto and 59% for Utah after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.3%. AiQ's moneyline expectation was -2.6% at -159 (best price at Caesars), indicating the model liked Utah but found the price slightly negative-EV. The market's implied 60% win probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, so the line was well-aligned with the model's forecast.
Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Mammoth betting trends: 2026-27 season
Toronto Maple Leafs sit at 3–4 overall in seven games, 2–2 at home and 1–2 on the road. Their against-the-spread record is 3–3 in six games with a recorded spread, and they have hit the over four times and the under twice in six total-line games. Recent form reads loss, win, loss, win, loss.
Utah Mammoth are 5–2 overall, unbeaten at home (2–0) and 3–2 away. Their against-the-spread record is 4–3 in seven games, with the over hitting four times and the under three. The Mammoth's last five results are win, win, loss, win, loss, and they sit on a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Mammoth?
Toronto travels to Columbus to face the Blue Jackets on Tuesday, October 20. Utah heads to Seattle for a Thursday, October 22 matchup against the Kraken.