Colorado Avalanche defeat Dallas Stars 3-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · NHL · Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2
Colorado Avalanche defeated Dallas Stars 3–2 on Tuesday at American Airlines Center, covering the +1.5 spread while the game finished under the 5.5 total.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars final score and game recap
The first period ended tied 1–1. The Avalanche took control in the second, scoring twice to build a 3–1 lead, then held on as Dallas scored once more in the third to close within a goal.
Martin Necas led Colorado with two goals. Mackenzie Blackwood made 24 saves on 26 shots. Tyler Seguin scored and assisted for Dallas, while Jake Oettinger stopped 22 of 25 shots.
Who covered the spread in Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars?
Colorado Avalanche covered as a +1.5 underdog, winning outright by one goal. Dallas entered as the -1.5 favorite but fell short.
Did Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars go over or under the total?
The game finished with 5 goals, falling under the 5.5 total by half a goal. Colorado scored 1–2–0 across the three periods; Dallas scored 1–0–1.
How did AiQ's Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars predictions do?
AiQ finished 58–28 across all graded picks for this game.
- Moneyline: AiQ chose Dallas Stars (52% confidence) — LOSS.
- Total: AiQ picked under 5.5 — WIN.
The model correctly identified the under but missed the moneyline. Player props drove the overall record, finishing 58–27.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 58–27. The model went 10–2 on listed props:
- Arttu Hyry under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Artturi Lehkonen under 1.5 goals — actual 1 — WIN.
- Devon Toews under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Fedor Svechkov under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Brock Nelson under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Gabriel Landeskog under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Parker Kelly under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- T.J. Hughes under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Nicolas Roy under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Jaden Schwartz goal scorer anytime at +470 — actual 0 — LOSS.
- Nathan MacKinnon goal scorer anytime at +115 — actual 0 — LOSS.
- Jake Oettinger under 25.5 saves at -125 — actual 22 — WIN.
Seventy-three additional player props are included in the overall record.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: tied, bets refunded.
- First-period total 1.5: Over paid -120 as 2 goals were scored in the opening frame.
- Dallas Stars team total 2.5: Under paid +118; the Stars finished with exactly 2 goals.
- Colorado Avalanche team total 2.5: Over paid -154; the Avalanche posted 3 goals.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars odds: sportsbook value and line movement
AiQ's moneyline pick on Dallas Stars carried -4.0% expected value at -118, a negative-EV price. The market implied 52% probability (vigorish removed), matching AiQ's calibrated estimate, so no edge existed at the offered odds.
Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars betting trends: 2026-27 season
Colorado sits 4–2 overall through six games with a 3–2 record against the spread in games with a recorded closing line. The Avalanche have gone over in four of five such games and under in one. Their last five results read W–L–W–L–W.
Dallas stands 2–4 overall, also through six games, with a 2–3 record against the spread. The Stars have gone under in all five games with a recorded closing total and over in none. They have lost two straight, with their last five results reading L–L–W–W–L.
What's next for Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars?
Colorado travels to New Jersey to face the Devils on Tuesday, October 20. Dallas hosts the Boston Bruins the same night, seeking to snap a two-game losing streak.