New York Rangers defeat Tampa Bay Lightning 4-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 4
New York Rangers won 4–1, covered the +1.5 spread, and the total went under 5.5.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers final score and game recap
The Rangers led 2–1 after the first period at Madison Square Garden and added one goal in the second period to extend their lead to 3–1. The Rangers added one in the third and closed with a fourth, while the Lightning managed no additional offense. Alexis Lafreniere led New York with two goals. Dylan Garand stopped 25 of 26 shots. Zemgus Girgensons scored the Lightning's lone goal, and Andrei Vasilevskiy made 19 saves on 22 shots.
Who covered the spread in Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers?
New York Rangers covered as a +1.5 underdog, winning outright by three goals. The spread held at +1.5 from open to close.
Did Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers go over or under the total?
The game finished with 5 goals against a 5.5 total, going under by half a goal. The total line did not move.
How did AiQ's Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers predictions do?
AiQ posted a 77–37 record across all graded picks for this game.
- Moneyline: Picked Tampa Bay Lightning at -163 – LOSS.
- Spread: Picked New York Rangers +1.5 – WIN.
- Total: Picked Under 5.5 – WIN.
- Player props: 77–36 overall.
AiQ's moneyline expectation was calibrated at 60% for Tampa Bay, matching the market's implied probability after removing vigorish.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record stands at 77–36.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy under 23.5 saves at -130; actual 19 – WIN.
- Sean Durzi under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Vladislav Gavrikov under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Braden Schneider under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Ryan McDonagh under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Adam Fox under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Oliver Bjorkstrand under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Noah Laba under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Gabe Perreault under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Eeli Tolvanen under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Alberts Smits under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
- Marcus Pettersson under 1.5 goals; actual 0 – WIN.
All listed props hit the under.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: New York Rangers won the period, paying +114.
- First-period total 1.5: Over hit, paying -120; three goals scored.
- Tampa Bay Lightning team total 3.5: Under, paying -148; the Lightning finished with one goal.
- New York Rangers team total 2.5: Over, paying -112; the Rangers posted four goals.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Rangers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Lightning opened at -163 while the Rangers were +137, implying a 59% win probability for Tampa Bay and 41% for New York after removing vigorish. The moneyline carried 4.2% vigorish. A $100 wager on the Rangers at +137 would have profited $137.
Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers betting trends: 2026-27 season
Tampa Bay Lightning sit at 4–2 overall, unbeaten at home (3–0) and 1–2 on the road. They are 3–3 against the spread in six games with recorded lines and have gone under the total four times out of six. Their last five results: L, W, W, W, W.
New York Rangers are 6–2 overall, unbeaten at home (5–0) and 1–2 away. They are 6–2 against the spread in eight games with recorded lines and split the total evenly at four overs and four unders. Their last five results: W, W, L, W, W, extending a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Rangers?
The Lightning travel to Las Vegas to face the Golden Knights on Tuesday, October 20. The Rangers head to Toronto to take on the Maple Leafs on Thursday, October 22.