Montreal Canadiens defeat Buffalo Sabres 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 13, 2026 · NHL · Buffalo Sabres 3, Montreal Canadiens 4
Buffalo Sabres covered the +1.5 spread despite losing 3–4 to Montreal, while the total went over 6.5.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens final score and game recap
The Canadiens defeated the Sabres at the Bell Centre on Tuesday, October 13. Buffalo scored first and led 1-0, but Montreal tied it 1-1 by the end of the first period. The Canadiens dominated the second, extending their lead to 3-1.
Olen Zellweger led Buffalo with two goals. Goaltender Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made 35 saves on 38 shots. For Montreal, Cole Caufield and Lane Hutson each contributed a goal and an assist.
Who covered the spread in Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens?
Buffalo covered the +1.5 spread despite the loss. Montreal entered as a –1.5 favorite and won by exactly one goal, leaving the Sabres on the right side of the line. The spread held steady throughout.
Did Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens go over or under the total?
The game went over 6.5, finishing with 7 total goals. Scoring occurred in the first, second, third, and fifth periods, with the combined tally finishing just over the line.
How did AiQ's Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens predictions do?
AiQ posted a 65–36 record across all graded picks on this contest.
- Moneyline: AiQ chose Montreal Canadiens at –155 and won, netting +$64.52 on a $100 stake.
- Spread: AiQ's pick was Buffalo Sabres +1.5, which covered.
- Total: AiQ took the over 6.5, which hit.
- Player props: AiQ finished 64–36.
The model correctly identified the winning team, the spread outcome, and the total. Player-prop selections were mixed, with two high-profile goal-scorer bets and one under-1.5 selection losing.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens player prop results
AiQ finished 64–36 on player props.
- Justin Danforth under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Nick Suzuki goal scorer anytime at +170; actual 0 — LOSS.
- Beck Malenstyn under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Olen Zellweger under 1.5 goals; actual 2 — LOSS.
- Mattias Samuelsson under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Josh Norris under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN.
- Zach Benson under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Ryan McLeod under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Noah Ostlund under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Owen Power under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Peyton Krebs under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN.
- Tage Thompson goal scorer anytime at +145; actual 0 — LOSS.
- 88 more AiQ player prop picks not listed (included in the record).
Most under-1.5 selections held. Zellweger's two-goal night and two missed goal-scorer bets accounted for the losses.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens game prop results: team totals and first period
- Buffalo Sabres team total 2.5: Over (paid –140); the Sabres posted 3 goals.
- Montreal Canadiens team total 2.5: Over (paid –270); the Canadiens posted 4 goals.
- First-period moneyline: tied, bets refunded.
- First-period total 1.5: Over (paid –145); two goals were scored in the opening frame.
- Buffalo Sabres team total 3.5: Under (paid –225); the Sabres finished with 3.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline had Buffalo at +128 and Montreal at –155, implying win probabilities of 42% and 58% after removing the 4.6% vig. Montreal's –155 price paid $64.52 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the –155 at –2.7%, a negative-EV offering despite the model's confidence in the Canadiens. The spread and total lines remained static. AiQ's calibrated estimate of 59% for Montreal matched the market's implied probability, confirming alignment.
Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens betting trends: 2026-27 season
Buffalo sits 3–4 overall, with a 3–2 record at home and 0–2 on the road. In four games with a recorded closing spread, the Sabres went 1–3 against the spread. Their four total-line games split evenly, two overs and two unders. The last five results read L, W, L, L, W.
Montreal is 3–3 overall, 2–2 at home and 1–1 away. The Canadiens are 0–5 against the spread in five recorded spread games. Their five total-line games produced four overs and one under. The recent five results are W, W, L, L, L, giving the club a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens?
Buffalo will host the Philadelphia Flyers on Wednesday, October 21. Montreal returns home to face the San Jose Sharks on Tuesday, October 20.