Minnesota Wild defeat Vegas Golden Knights 4-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Oct 12, 2026 · NHL · Vegas Golden Knights 2, Minnesota Wild 4
Minnesota Wild defeated Vegas Golden Knights 4-2, covering the -1.5 spread. The combined total of 6 goals resulted in a push.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild final score and game recap
Minnesota's three-goal first period decided the game. The Wild scored three unanswered goals in the opening frame to build a 3-0 lead, then held firm through the middle period despite William Karlsson's goal cutting the deficit to 3-1. Both teams added one goal in the third, finishing 4-2.
Carter Hart stopped 24 of 27 shots for Vegas. Jesper Wallstedt made 21 saves on 23 attempts for Minnesota. Matt Boldy scored for the Wild; Karlsson scored for the Knights.
Who covered the spread in Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild?
Minnesota Wild covered -1.5, winning by two goals as the favored team.
Did Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild go over or under the total?
The game landed exactly on the 6-goal total, resulting in a push.
How did AiQ's Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild predictions do?
AiQ posted a 70-29 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Minnesota Wild (50% confidence) — WIN
- Spread: Minnesota Wild -1.5 — WIN
- Total: 6 — PUSH
- Player props: 69-29 (all wins)
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate finished 69-29. Every listed pick hit the under:
- Daemon Hunt under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Jeremy Lauzon under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Jared Spurgeon under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Noah Hanifin under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Maxim Shabanov under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Shea Theodore under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Yakov Trenin under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Braeden Bowman under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Michael McCarron under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- Quinn Hughes under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- William Karlsson under 1.5 goals; actual 1 — WIN
- Ivan Barbashev under 1.5 goals; actual 0 — WIN
- 86 additional AiQ player prop picks (included in the 69-29 record)
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period total 1.5: Over (paid -130); three goals scored
- Minnesota Wild team total 2.5: Over (paid -168); they scored four
- First-period moneyline: Minnesota Wild won the first period (paid -116)
- Vegas Golden Knights team total 3.5: Under (paid -182); they scored two
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The market implied 50% win probability for Minnesota after vig removal, matching AiQ's calibrated estimate. However, AiQ's moneyline expectation was -5.0% at -112, indicating insufficient value despite favoring the Wild. The model's pick was correct, but the odds offered negative expected value.
Vegas Golden Knights and Minnesota Wild betting trends: 2026-27 season
Vegas Golden Knights sit 5-2 through seven games: 3-1 at home, 2-1 on the road. Against the spread in six games with a recorded closing line, they are 2-4. In six games with a recorded total, they are 4 overs and 2 unders. Their last five results: loss, then four straight wins.
Minnesota Wild are 4-2 through six games: 2-0 at home, 2-2 away. They are 4-0 against the spread in four games with a recorded closing line. In four games with a recorded total, they are 0-4 overs—all four totals hit the under. They have won two straight.
What's next for Vegas Golden Knights and Minnesota Wild?
Vegas Golden Knights host Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday, October 20. Minnesota Wild travel to Edmonton to face the Oilers the same night.