Seattle Kraken defeat Washington Capitals 5-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NHL · Seattle Kraken 5, Washington Capitals 3

Seattle Kraken defeated the Washington Capitals 5–3 on Sunday at Capital One Arena, covering the +1.5 spread and sending the total over 6.5 with eight combined goals.

Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals final score and game recap

The teams traded two-goal bursts in the opening period before Seattle pulled ahead 3–2 by the second intermission. The Kraken added two more in the third while Washington managed one, sealing a 5–3 final. Joey Daccord stopped 33 of 36 shots for Seattle, and Frederick Gaudreau contributed a goal and an assist. Logan Thompson made 22 saves on 27 attempts for Washington, and Boone Jenner scored once. The middle frame proved decisive: Seattle's single goal there gave them the edge they would not relinquish.

Who covered the spread in Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals?

Seattle Kraken covered as the underdog, winning outright against the Washington Capitals –1.5 closing line. The spread held steady from open to close.

Did Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals go over or under the total?

The game went over 6.5, finishing with eight combined goals.

How did AiQ's Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals predictions do?

AiQ finished 70–49 across all graded picks on this game.

AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but backed Washington on the moneyline despite the upset. The moneyline pick carried a –2.7% expected value at the best available price of –215, making it a negative-EV offering even though AiQ's calibrated win probability for Washington (66%) matched the market's implied probability after vig removal.

Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals player prop results

AiQ's player prop record on this game stood at 70–48. All twelve listed props hit the under:

An additional 106 player prop picks not listed are included in the 70–48 record.

Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals game prop results: first period and team totals

Seattle Kraken vs. Washington Capitals odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline listed Seattle Kraken at +172 and Washington Capitals at –210. After vig removal, the market implied a 35% win probability for Seattle and 65% for Washington, with a bookmaker margin of 4.5%. Seattle's victory at +172 returned $172 profit on a $100 stake. AiQ's moneyline expectation was calibrated at 66% for Washington, but the best available price of –215 translated to a –2.7% expected value—a negative-EV proposition. The spread did not move from open to close.

Seattle Kraken sit at 4–2 overall through six games, with a 1–1 home record and 3–1 away/neutral. They are 3–2 against the spread in five games with a recorded closing line and 4–1 over/under in five games with a recorded total. Their last five results read W, W, L, W, L, giving them a two-game winning streak.

Washington Capitals are 3–2 overall through five games, with a 2–1 home record and 1–1 away/neutral. They are 3–2 against the spread and 3–2 over/under in five games with recorded lines. Their recent five outcomes are L, W, W, L, W.

What's next for Seattle Kraken and Washington Capitals?

Seattle hosts the Detroit Red Wings on Tuesday, October 20. Washington hosts the Los Angeles Kings on the same date.