Pittsburgh Penguins defeat Dallas Stars 2-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NHL · Dallas Stars 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Pittsburgh Penguins defeated Dallas Stars 2-1 on Saturday at PPG Paints Arena, covering the +1.5 spread while the game finished under 6.5 goals.
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins final score and game recap
The Penguins and Stars remained scoreless through two periods. Both teams scored in the third period, with the game tied 1-1 after regulation. Jake Oettinger made 19 saves on 20 shots for Dallas; Arturs Silovs stopped 24 of 25 for Pittsburgh.
Who covered the spread in Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins?
Pittsburgh Penguins covered as +1.5 underdogs, winning outright by one goal. The spread held steady from open to close.
Did Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins go over or under the total?
The game finished under 6.5, with three combined goals. The total did not move.
How did AiQ's Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins predictions do?
AiQ posted a 58-20 record across all graded picks:
- Moneyline: Dallas Stars -181 – LOSS
- Spread: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 6.5 – WIN
- Player props: 58-19 – WIN
AiQ correctly identified the spread and total but missed the moneyline, backing Dallas at -181 when Pittsburgh won outright.
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 58-19. All listed props hit the under:
- Sam Steel under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Thomas Harley under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Tyler Seguin under 1.5 goals – actual 1 – WIN
- Radek Faksa under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Lian Bichsel under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Jamie Benn under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Arttu Hyry under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Miro Heiskanen under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Nils Lundkvist under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Justin Hryckowian under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Oskar Back under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Erik Karlsson under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- 65 more AiQ player prop picks not listed (included in the record)
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins game prop results: team totals and first period
- Pittsburgh Penguins team total 3.5 – Under (paid -260); they scored 2
- First-period moneyline – tied; bets were refunded
- Dallas Stars team total 3.5 – Under (paid -112); they scored 1
- First-period total 1.5 – Under (paid +105); no goals were recorded in the opening frame
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Bookmakers listed Dallas Stars at -181 and Pittsburgh Penguins at +149, implying win probabilities of 62% for Dallas and 38% for Pittsburgh after removing the vig. The market margin was 4.6%. A $100 wager on Pittsburgh at +149 profited $149. The line held steady from open to close. AiQ's calibrated estimate was 63% for Dallas. The best available price was -176 at FanDuel, representing negative expected value; AiQ did not view the offered price as value despite the probability alignment.
Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins betting trends: 2026-27 season
Dallas Stars sit 2-3 through five games, with a 1-1 record at home and 1-2 on the road. They are 2-3 against the spread in five games with a recorded closing spread and have gone under the total in all five contests where a total was posted. Their recent stretch reads L, W, W, L, L.
Pittsburgh Penguins are 3-3 after six outings, posting a 2-1 home record and 1-2 away/neutral. They stand 4-2 against the spread in six games with a recorded spread and are split 3-3 on the over/under in those same six contests. Their last five results are W, L, L, L, W.
What's next for Dallas Stars and Pittsburgh Penguins?
Dallas Stars host Boston Bruins on Tuesday, October 20. Pittsburgh Penguins host Florida Panthers on Thursday, October 22.