Utah Mammoth defeat Buffalo Sabres 4-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NHL · Utah Mammoth 4, Buffalo Sabres 1
Utah Mammoth defeated Buffalo Sabres 4–1 on Saturday at KeyBank Center, covering the +1.5 spread as an underdog and finishing under 6.5.
Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres final score and game recap
Utah Mammoth seized control after a tied first period. Both teams scored once in the opening frame, but Utah Mammoth added two unanswered goals in the second to lead 3–1 heading into the third. A third-period goal sealed the 4–1 victory.
Anders Lee and Kailer Yamamoto each recorded a goal and an assist for Utah Mammoth. Tage Thompson scored Buffalo Sabres' lone goal. Colten Ellis made 26 saves on 30 shots.
Who covered the spread in Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres?
Utah Mammoth covered at +1.5, winning by three goals. Buffalo Sabres were -1.5 favorites. The line never moved.
Did Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres go over or under the total?
The game finished under 6.5 with five combined goals, falling 1.5 short of the line.
How did AiQ's Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres predictions do?
AiQ posted a 64–14 record across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Utah Mammoth +100 – WIN (+$100 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 63–14
Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres player prop results
AiQ finished 63–14 on player props. Every listed selection hit:
- Louis Crevier under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Daniil But under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Jack McBain under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Jack Quinn under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Josh Doan under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Josh Norris under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Vincent Trocheck under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Zach Benson under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Kevin Stenlund under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Tage Thompson under 1.5 goals – actual 1 – WIN
- Noah Ostlund under 1.5 goals – actual 0 – WIN
- Nick Schmaltz goal scorer anytime +190 – actual 1 – WIN
- 65 additional player prop picks (included in the record)
Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres game prop results: team totals and first period
- Buffalo Sabres team total 3.5: Under (paid -174); they scored 1
- First-period total 1.5: Over (paid -140); 2 goals scored
- Utah Mammoth team total 3.5: Over (paid +128); they scored 4
- First-period moneyline: tied, bets refunded
Utah Mammoth vs. Buffalo Sabres odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline showed Utah Mammoth at +100 and Buffalo Sabres at -120. The moneyline implied 48 percent win probability for Utah Mammoth and 52 percent for Buffalo Sabres after removing the 4.5 percent vig.
AiQ's pre-game expected value for the Utah Mammoth moneyline was -4.7 percent at -112, indicating the model liked the side but deemed the price negative-expected value. The market's vig-free implied probability of 50 percent matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.
Utah Mammoth and Buffalo Sabres betting trends: 2026-27 season
Utah Mammoth sit 4–2 overall through six games, with a 1–0 home record and 3–2 away/neutral split. They are 4–2 against the spread in six games with a recorded closing spread and split evenly at 3 overs and 3 unders in six games with a recorded total. Their last five results: W, L, W, L, W.
Buffalo Sabres are 2–3 overall through five games, with a 2–2 home record and 0–1 away/neutral split. They are 0–3 against the spread in three games with a recorded closing spread and sit 1 over and 2 unders in three games with a recorded total. Their last five results: L, L, W, W, L. They are on a two-game losing streak.
What's next for Utah Mammoth and Buffalo Sabres?
Utah Mammoth travel to Seattle Kraken on Thursday, October 22. Buffalo Sabres host Philadelphia Flyers on Wednesday, October 21.