Vegas Golden Knights defeat Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Thu, Oct 8, 2026 · NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Vegas Golden Knights 4

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in a shootout on Thursday, October 8, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena. The Toronto Maple Leafs covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 6.5, with 7 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 71-36.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights final score and game recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs led 3-1 after the first period. It was 3-3 after two periods. Neither team scored in the third period. It was tied 3-3 at the end of regulation. The Vegas Golden Knights won in a shootout.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Sergei Bobrovsky (Toronto Maple Leafs): 40 saves on 43 shots.
Easton Cowan (Toronto Maple Leafs): 1 goal.
Jack Eichel (Vegas Golden Knights): 1 goal, 1 assist.
Adin Hill (Vegas Golden Knights): 21 saves on 24 shots.

Who covered the spread in Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights?

The Toronto Maple Leafs covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs, losing by 1 goal.

The puck line opened and closed at Vegas Golden Knights -1.5.

Did Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights go over or under the total?

The game went over: 7 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, over by 0.5.

The total opened and closed at 6.5.

How did AiQ's Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights predictions do?

AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 71-36.

Moneyline: the Vegas Golden Knights to win at -170, a win (+$58.82 on a $100 bet).
Player props: 71-36.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights player prop results

AiQ's player prop picks went 71-36 in this game.

Brandon Duhaime (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Teddy Blueger (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Marc Gatcomb (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Jack Roslovic (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
Noah Hanifin (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Brayden McNabb (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Easton Cowan (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
Gavin McKenna (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Troy Stecher (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
William Karlsson (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Jeremy Lauzon (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Brett Howden (Vegas Golden Knights): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
95 more picks are in the record above but not listed.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights game prop results: first period and team totals

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

First-period total 1.5: the over, paying -145, with 4 goals scored.
First-period moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs won the first period, paying +122.
Vegas Golden Knights team total 4.5: the under, paying -250, with 4 scored.
Vegas Golden Knights team total 3.5: the over, paying -128, with 4 scored.
Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: the under, paying -205, with 3 scored.
Toronto Maple Leafs team total 2.5: the over, paying -150, with 3 scored.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Vegas Golden Knights odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Toronto Maple Leafs at +140 and the Vegas Golden Knights at -170. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Vegas Golden Knights a 60% favorite. The Vegas Golden Knights won as the favorite at -170: $58.82 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Vegas Golden Knights, the best price before the game was -166 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−2.0% value).

Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights betting trends: 2026-27 season

This result left the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-3 in the 2026-27 regular season (2-2 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 1 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 2 times.

This result left the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1 in the 2026-27 regular season (2-1 at home, 2-0 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 2 of 5 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 1 time. That made it three straight wins for the Vegas Golden Knights.

What's next for Toronto Maple Leafs and Vegas Golden Knights?

Next for the Toronto Maple Leafs: at the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Next for the Vegas Golden Knights: the Los Angeles Kings at home on Saturday, October 10, 2026.