Toronto Maple Leafs defeat Nashville Predators 5-4: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Tue, Oct 6, 2026 · NHL · Nashville Predators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Nashville Predators 5-4 in overtime on Tuesday, October 6, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena. The Nashville Predators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 5.5, with 9 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 72-35.

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap

The Nashville Predators led 2-0 after the first period and 4-3 after two periods. The Toronto Maple Leafs outscored the Nashville Predators 1-0 in the third period. It was tied 4-4 at the end of regulation. The Toronto Maple Leafs won it in overtime.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Nils Hoglander (Nashville Predators): 2 goals.
Steven Stamkos (Nashville Predators): 2 goals.
Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs): 1 goal, 3 assists.
William Nylander (Toronto Maple Leafs): 1 goal, 2 assists.

Who covered the spread in Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?

The Nashville Predators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs, losing by 1 goal.

The puck line opened and closed at Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5.

Did Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?

The game went over: 9 goals combined against a closing total of 5.5, over by 3.5.

The total opened at 6.5 and closed at 5.5.

How did AiQ's Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?

AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 72-35.

Moneyline: the Toronto Maple Leafs to win at -155, a win (+$64.52 on a $100 bet).
Player props: 72-35.

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results

AiQ's player prop picks went 72-35 in this game.

Gavin McKenna (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
Brandon Duhaime (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Troy Stecher (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Morgan Rielly (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Easton Cowan (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Nick Paul (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Colton Sissons (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Darren Raddysh (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Teddy Blueger (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Jack Roslovic (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
Jack Drury (Nashville Predators): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
95 more picks are in the record above but not listed.

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: first period and team totals

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

First-period total 1.5: the over, paying -125, with 2 goals scored.
Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: the over, paying +106, with 5 scored.
First-period moneyline: Nashville Predators won the first period, paying +120.
Nashville Predators team total 3.5: the over, paying +200, with 4 scored.

Nashville Predators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Nashville Predators at +135 and the Toronto Maple Leafs at -165. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Toronto Maple Leafs a 59% favorite. The Toronto Maple Leafs won as the favorite at -165: $60.61 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Toronto Maple Leafs, the best price before the game was -152 at BetRivers: priced below fair (−2.3% value).

The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5, and the game went over.

Nashville Predators and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season

This result left the Nashville Predators 1-2 in the 2026-27 regular season (1-1 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 2 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 2 times.

This result left the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-2 in the 2026-27 regular season. Against the puck line, they covered in 0 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 2 times.

What's next for Nashville Predators and Toronto Maple Leafs?

Next for the Nashville Predators: at the Montreal Canadiens on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Next for the Toronto Maple Leafs: at the Vegas Golden Knights on Thursday, October 8, 2026.