Tampa Bay Lightning defeat Philadelphia Flyers 4-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 · NHL · Philadelphia Flyers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1 on Monday, October 5, 2026, at Benchmark International Arena. The Tampa Bay Lightning covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites. The game went under the closing total of 5.5, with 5 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 72-19.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning final score and game recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning led 1-0 after the first period and 2-1 after two periods. They outscored the Philadelphia Flyers 2-0 in the third period. They led at the end of every period.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Dan Vladar (Philadelphia Flyers): 32 saves on 35 shots.
- Tyson Foerster (Philadelphia Flyers): 1 goal.
- Pontus Holmberg (Tampa Bay Lightning): 1 goal, 1 assist.
- Ilya Mikheyev (Tampa Bay Lightning): 1 goal, 1 assist.
Who covered the spread in Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning?
The Tampa Bay Lightning covered the puck line as 1.5-goal favorites, winning by 3 goals.
The puck line opened and closed at Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5.
Did Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning go over or under the total?
The game went under: 5 goals combined against a closing total of 5.5, under by 0.5.
The total opened and closed at 5.5.
How did AiQ's Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 72-19.
- Moneyline: the Tampa Bay Lightning to win at -218, a win (+$45.87 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 72-19.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 72-19 in this game.
- Christian Dvorak (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Travis Sanheim (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Sean Couturier (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Noel Acciari (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Porter Martone (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Jamie Drysdale (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Noah Cates (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Carl Grundstrom (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Cam York (Philadelphia Flyers): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Pontus Holmberg (Tampa Bay Lightning): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
- Conor Geekie (Tampa Bay Lightning): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
- Ilya Mikheyev (Tampa Bay Lightning): under 1.5 goals, finished with 1, a win.
- 79 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning game prop results: first period and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-period moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning won the first period, paying -205.
- Tampa Bay Lightning team total 3.5: the over, paying -116, with 4 scored.
- First-period total 1.5: the under, paying -105, with 1 goal scored.
- Philadelphia Flyers team total 1.5: the under, paying +196, with 1 scored.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Philadelphia Flyers at +185 and the Tampa Bay Lightning at -225. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Tampa Bay Lightning a 66% favorite. The Tampa Bay Lightning won as the favorite at -225: $44.44 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Tampa Bay Lightning, the best price before the game was -209 at Caesars: priced below fair (−1.0% value).
Philadelphia Flyers and Tampa Bay Lightning betting trends: 2026-27 season
This result left the Philadelphia Flyers 0-4 in the 2026-27 regular season (0-2 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times. That made it four straight losses for the Philadelphia Flyers.
This result left the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-1 in the 2026-27 regular season (2-0 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the puck line, they covered in 2 of 3 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 2 times. That made it two straight wins for the Tampa Bay Lightning.
What's next for Philadelphia Flyers and Tampa Bay Lightning?
Next for the Philadelphia Flyers: at the Ottawa Senators on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Next for the Tampa Bay Lightning: the Minnesota Wild at home on Thursday, October 8, 2026.