Ottawa Senators defeat Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · NHL · Ottawa Senators 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

The Ottawa Senators beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-2 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at Scotiabank Arena. The Ottawa Senators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 6.5, with 5 goals combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 42-20.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap

The Ottawa Senators led 1-0 after the first period. It was 2-2 after two periods. The Ottawa Senators outscored the Toronto Maple Leafs 1-0 in the third period.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Thomas Chabot (Ottawa Senators): 1 goal, 1 assist.
Linus Ullmark (Ottawa Senators): 27 saves on 29 shots.
Sergei Bobrovsky (Toronto Maple Leafs): 26 saves on 29 shots.
Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs): 1 goal.

Who covered the spread in Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?

The Ottawa Senators covered the puck line as 1.5-goal underdogs and won outright, by 1 goal.

The puck line opened and closed at Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5.

Did Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?

The game went under: 5 goals combined against a closing total of 6.5, under by 1.5.

The total opened and closed at 6.5.

How did AiQ's Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?

AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 42-20.

Moneyline: the Toronto Maple Leafs to win at -115, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
Player props: 42-20.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs player prop results

AiQ's player prop picks went 42-20 in this game.

Darren Raddysh (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Brandon Duhaime (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Colton Sissons (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Troy Stecher (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Teddy Blueger (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Morgan Rielly (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Nick Paul (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Jack Roslovic (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Easton Cowan (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Gavin McKenna (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 1.5 goals, finished with 0, a win.
Kirill Marchenko (Toronto Maple Leafs): under 0.5 goals at -310, finished with 1, a loss.
50 more picks are in the record above but not listed.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: team totals and first period

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

Ottawa Senators team total 3.5: the under, paying -176, with 3 scored.
First-period moneyline: Ottawa Senators won the first period, paying -116.
Toronto Maple Leafs team total 3.5: the under, paying -176, with 2 scored.
First-period total 1.5: the under, paying +100, with 1 goal scored.
Ottawa Senators team total 2.5: the over, paying -180, with 3 scored.

Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Ottawa Senators at -106 and the Toronto Maple Leafs at -115. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Toronto Maple Leafs a 51% favorite. The Ottawa Senators won as the underdog at -106: $94.34 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Toronto Maple Leafs, the price before the game was -115: priced below fair (−4.5% value).

Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season

This result left the Ottawa Senators 1-0 in the 2026-27 regular season. Against the puck line, they covered in 1 of 1 game with a closing line on file. Their only game with a closing total went under.

This result left the Toronto Maple Leafs 1-2 in the 2026-27 regular season. Against the puck line, they covered in 0 of 2 games with a closing line on file. All two of their games with a closing total went under.

What's next for Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs?

Next for the Ottawa Senators: at the Boston Bruins on Monday, October 5, 2026. Next for the Toronto Maple Leafs: the Nashville Predators at home on Tuesday, October 6, 2026.