Minnesota Wild defeat Florida Panthers 4-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NHL · Minnesota Wild 4, Florida Panthers 1
Minnesota Wild defeated Florida Panthers 4-1 at Amerant Bank Arena, covering the +1.5 spread and finishing under 5.5.
Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers final score and game recap
Minnesota Wild built a 2-0 lead in the first period, then extended it to 3-1 by the end of the second after Florida Panthers scored once. Kirill Kaprizov finished with 3 goals and 1 assist. Matt Boldy added 1 goal and 1 assist for Minnesota. Jacob Markstrom stopped 25 of 28 shots for Florida, while Matthew Tkachuk scored the Panthers' lone goal.
Who covered the spread in Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers?
Minnesota Wild covered as the +1.5 underdog, winning outright by three goals. The spread opened and closed at Florida Panthers -1.5.
Did Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers go over or under the total?
The game finished under 5.5 with five combined goals. The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 before puck drop.
How did AiQ's Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers predictions do?
AiQ finished 64-23 across all graded picks on the contest.
- Moneyline: Florida Panthers at -133 — LOSS.
- Spread: Minnesota Wild +1.5 — WIN.
- Total: Under 5.5 — WIN.
- Player props: 64-22 — WIN.
AiQ backed the Panthers on the moneyline but correctly identified both the spread and total outcomes.
Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate finished 64-22.
- Radko Gudas under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Michael McCarron under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Matthew Tkachuk goal scorer at +175 — actual 1 — WIN.
- Seth Jones under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Bobby Brink under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Jared Spurgeon under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Gustav Forsling under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Bokondji Imama under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Lars Eller under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Anton Lundell under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Ryan Hartman under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
- Eetu Luostarinen under 1.5 goals — actual 0 — WIN.
Seventy-four additional prop picks are included in the overall record.
Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers game prop results: first period and team totals
- First-period moneyline: Minnesota Wild won the opening frame — paid +100.
- First-period total 1.5: Over — paid -125; two goals were scored.
- Florida Panthers team total 3.5: Under — paid -168; Panthers scored 1.
- Minnesota Wild team total 3.5: Over — paid +180; Wild scored 4.
Minnesota Wild vs. Florida Panthers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Minnesota Wild +110 and Florida Panthers -133, implying a 45% win probability for Minnesota and 55% for Florida after vig removal. The bookmaker margin was 4.7%. A $100 wager on Minnesota's +110 odds returned $110 profit.
AiQ's pre-game expected-value calculation on Florida Panthers at -133 placed the pick at -1.6% (best price at Fanatics), indicating the model liked the side but deemed the offered odds negative-EV. The market's implied 56% probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, but the price did not reflect that edge.
Minnesota Wild and Florida Panthers betting trends: 2026-27 season
Minnesota Wild sit 3-2 overall in five games, 1-0 at home and 2-2 away/neutral. Against the spread in four games with a recorded closing line, they are 4-0. In four games with a recorded closing total, they are 0-4, all unders. Their last five results: W, L, L, W, W.
Florida Panthers are 2-3 overall, 0-1 at home and 2-2 away/neutral. Against the spread in five games with a recorded closing line, they are 1-4. In five games with a recorded closing total, they are 1-4. Their last five results: L, W, L, L, W.
What's next for Minnesota Wild and Florida Panthers?
Minnesota Wild travel to Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday, October 20. Florida Panthers travel to Ottawa Senators on Wednesday, October 21.