Real Betis defeat Osasuna 5-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · La Liga · Osasuna 2, Real Betis 5
Real Betis defeated Osasuna 5–2 on Sunday, October 11 at Estadio La Cartuja. Real Betis won the moneyline at -212, and the match finished at 7 goals, surpassing the 3-goal total. AiQ's moneyline pick on Real Betis won, but the under on total goals lost.
Osasuna vs. Real Betis final score and match recap
Real Betis controlled the first half, scoring twice while Osasuna managed no goals. In the second half, Osasuna scored twice while Real Betis added three more goals to seal a 5–2 victory. Raúl García and Ante Budimir scored for Osasuna, while Isco netted twice and Abde Ezzalzouli added one for Real Betis.
Did Osasuna vs. Real Betis go over or under the goals total?
The match went over, finishing at 7 goals—4 above the 3-goal line. Real Betis scored two in the first half and three in the second; Osasuna added two in the second. AiQ had taken the under at 54% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Osasuna vs. Real Betis predictions do?
AiQ finished 2–5 across all graded picks on this match.
- Moneyline: Real Betis at -212 — WIN (+$47.17 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 3 — LOSS
- Player props: 1–4 — LOSS (net -$290 on $100 per pick)
The model correctly identified Real Betis as the winner but mispriced both the total and all player-prop selections.
Osasuna vs. Real Betis player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1–4, netting -$290.
- Héctor Bellerín (Real Betis) over 0.5 shots on target at +300; actual 0 — LOSS
- Héctor Bellerín (Real Betis) over 0.5 shots at +110; actual 1 — WIN
- Nelson Deossa (Real Betis) over 0.5 assists at +650; actual 0 — LOSS
- Cucho Hernández (Real Betis) to record a goal scorer anytime at +155; actual 0 — LOSS
- Cucho Hernández (Real Betis) over 1.5 shots on target at +140; actual 0 — LOSS
Only Bellerín's shots-over prop succeeded; the other four fell short.
Osasuna vs. Real Betis game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: Yes (paid -135)
- Draw no bet: Real Betis cashed (paid -650)
Osasuna vs. Real Betis odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Osasuna +558, Draw +360, Real Betis -212. Removing the vig, the implied probabilities were 14% for Osasuna, 21% for a draw, and 65% for Real Betis. The vig on the line was 4.9%. Real Betis won at -212, paying $47.17 on a $100 stake. AiQ's pre-game expected-value calculation assigned the Real Betis price a -1.5% edge at -210, indicating the market price was slightly unfavorable despite the side being a clear favorite.
Osasuna and Real Betis betting trends: 2026-27 season
Osasuna sits at 2–2–4 in eight matches, with a 1–2–1 home record and 1–0–3 away/neutral. In seven games with a recorded closing total, Osasuna hit the over three times and the under four times. Their last five results: L, D, L, L, L.
Real Betis is 6–1–1 in eight games, unbeaten at home (4–0–0) and 2–1–1 away/neutral. Of six games with a recorded total, Real Betis went under four times and over twice. Recent form: W, D, W, W, W.
What's next for Osasuna and Real Betis?
Osasuna travels to Sevilla on Monday, October 26. Real Betis heads to Celta Vigo on Sunday, October 25.