Elche and Villarreal draw 0-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · La Liga · Elche 0, Villarreal 0
Elche and Villarreal played to a 0–0 draw on Saturday, October 17 at Estadio de la Cerámica. The under on the 3.3-goal total cashed; AiQ's two graded picks both lost.
Elche vs. Villarreal final score and match recap
Neither team scored across ninety minutes. Elche 0, Villarreal 0. The scoreline remained 0–0 after both halves.
Did Elche vs. Villarreal go over or under the goals total?
The total went under. Combined score: 0 goals. AiQ had taken the over at 3.3 with 61% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Elche vs. Villarreal predictions do?
AiQ finished 0–2 on this fixture.
- Moneyline: Villarreal at -238 – loss (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 3.3 – loss
AiQ identified Villarreal as the favorite but misjudged the goal line. The model's moneyline pick carried 57% confidence but offered negative expected value at -225 (−2.6% EV). The market's implied probability for Villarreal (68% after vig removal) aligned with AiQ's calibrated estimate (67%), meaning the price reflected the model's view without offering an edge.
Elche vs. Villarreal game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: No (paid +130) – the match produced no goals, so the prop paid out.
- Draw no bet: stakes refunded – the fixture ended in a draw.
Elche vs. Villarreal odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Elche +542, Draw +407, Villarreal -238. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 15% for Elche, 19% for a draw, and 67% for Villarreal, with a bookmaker margin of 5.7%. A $100 wager on the draw at +407 returned $407 profit.
Elche and Villarreal betting trends: 2026-27 season
Elche sits at 1–4–4 through nine matches, with a home record of 0–1–3 and an away/neutral record of 1–3–1. In seven games with a recorded closing total, five went over and two under. Their last five results are D, D, W, L, D—a current streak of two straight draws.
Villarreal holds a 2–3–4 record through nine games, posting a home line of 1–1–2 and an away/neutral line of 1–2–2. Of six games with a recorded total, five went over and one under. Their last five results read D, L, W, W, L.
What's next for Elche and Villarreal?
Elche travels to Rayo Vallecano on Saturday, October 24. Villarreal heads to Valencia the same day.