Real Madrid vs Racing Santander Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1, 10:15 AM ET · El Sardineros · La Liga

This match is under way. The preview below is from before the start.

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Real Madrid at Racing Santander is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at El Sardineros.

The story

Real Madrid have won 11 and lost 2 of their 13 matches this season, winning the last five. Racing Santander have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their 10 matches this season, winning one of the last five.

Matchups to watch

• Mismatch in scoring. Real Madrid averaged 2.50 goals per match this season, the 2nd most in La Liga, and Racing Santander conceded 2.60 goals per match, the most.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Real Madrid a 58% confidence rating to beat Racing Santander, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 81.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 82.1%. The best price, -425 at BetMGM, is priced near the fair price of -435 (+0.4% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the over 3.8 goals a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Trends in play

Recent totals lean over. Racing Santander went over the total in 6 of their last 7 matches.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.