Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 3:00 PM ET · Mestalla Stadium · La Liga
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Real Madrid at Valencia is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Mestalla Stadium.
The story
Real Madrid have won 13 and lost 2 of their 15 matches this season, winning the last seven. Valencia have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their 11 matches this season, winning one of the last five. Valencia come in with more rest: their last match was on November 1, six days before this one, while Real Madrid played three days before.
Matchups to watch
- Mismatch in shots. Real Madrid averaged 17.3 shots per match this season, the 3rd most in La Liga, and Valencia faced 15.5 shots per match, tied for the 3rd most.
- An uphill climb in scoring. Valencia averaged 0.73 goals per match this season, tied for the fewest in La Liga, and Real Madrid conceded 0.91 goals per match, tied for the 2nd fewest.
Moneyline
AiQ gives Real Madrid a 58% confidence rating to beat Valencia, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 75.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 75.9%. The best price, -325 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -313 (−0.9% value).
Total goals
AiQ gives the over 3.3 goals a 60% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.