Liverpool defeat Brentford 2-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · Premier League · Liverpool 2, Brentford 1

Liverpool came from a goal down to beat Brentford 2-1 at the Gtech Community Stadium on Saturday, October 17. Liverpool scored twice in the second half through Alexander Isak and Víctor Muñoz. Keane Lewis-Potter had given Brentford a first-half advantage, set up by Igor Thiago's assist. The match went over 2.5 goals, finishing with exactly three.

Liverpool vs. Brentford final score and match recap

Liverpool trailed 0-1 at halftime but outscored Brentford 2-0 in the second half to secure a 2-1 victory on the road. Isak and Muñoz each scored in the second half to complete the comeback. Lewis-Potter's first-half finish, assisted by Thiago, proved insufficient for Brentford to hold on.

Did Liverpool vs. Brentford go over or under the goals total?

The match went over 2.5 goals, finishing with exactly three. AiQ's over 2.5 pick at 54% confidence was a winner.

How did AiQ's Liverpool vs. Brentford predictions do?

AiQ finished 1-2 across all graded picks for this match.

The model correctly anticipated the high-scoring nature of the encounter but backed the underdog Brentford instead of Liverpool.

Liverpool vs. Brentford player prop results

AiQ's player-prop record was 0-1, resulting in a net loss of $100.

Liverpool vs. Brentford game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score

Liverpool vs. Brentford odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline was Liverpool +147, Draw +257, Brentford +172, implying win probabilities of 38% for Liverpool, 35% for Brentford, and 27% for a draw after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin sat at 5.3%. Liverpool won and paid $147 on a $100 wager.

AiQ's moneyline expectation was priced at +143 on Betrivers, translating to a -1.3% expected value. The market's implied 40% chance for Liverpool versus AiQ's calibrated 41% estimate showed tight alignment, though the price did not meet AiQ's value threshold.

Liverpool sits at 3-3-1 through seven matches, with a 0-2-1 record at home and 3-1-0 away or neutral. In five matches with a recorded closing total, Liverpool hit the over twice and the under three times. Their last five results, most recent first, are W, L, W, D, W.

Brentford holds a 2-4-1 mark in seven outings, posting a 2-1-1 home record and 0-3-0 away or neutral. Their five matches with a closing total also split 2 overs and 3 unders. Brentford's last five outcomes, most recent first, read L, D, W, D, D.

What's next for Liverpool and Brentford?

Liverpool will host Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday, October 25. Brentford travels to Hull City on the same day.