Newcastle United vs Fulham Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 AM ET · Craven Cottage · Premier League

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Newcastle United at Fulham is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Craven Cottage.

The story

Newcastle United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their 9 matches this season, winning two of the last five. Fulham have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their 9 matches this season, winning two of the last five. Fulham come in with more rest: their last match was on October 31, seven days before this one, while Newcastle United played five days before. When these teams last met, on May 24, 2026, Fulham won 2-0 at home.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness in scoring. Fulham averaged 1.00 goals per match this season, tied for the 3rd fewest in the Premier League, and Newcastle United conceded 1.67 goals per match, tied for the 5th most.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Fulham a 58% confidence rating to beat Newcastle United, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 46.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 46.1%. The price on record, +110, is priced below the fair price of +116 (−3.0% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the under 2.5 goals a 53% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 42.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 42.2%. The price on record, +115, is priced below the fair price of +137 (−9.3% value).

Trends in play

Recent totals lean under. Fulham went under the total in 7 of their last 10 matches.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.