Everton and Hull City draw 2-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · Premier League · Everton 2, Hull City 2
Everton and Hull City played to a 2-2 draw on Sunday, October 11 at the MKM Stadium. The match went over the 2.5-goal total, finishing with four goals. AiQ's moneyline pick on Everton at -105 lost, as did its under-2.5 total, leaving the model 2-3 across all graded selections.
Everton vs. Hull City final score and match recap
A scoreless first half gave way to a second-half explosion. All four goals arrived after the break, with Everton striking twice through Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (1 goal, 1 assist) and Thierno Barry, while Hull City answered through Joe Gelhardt and Mohamed Belloumi. The match ended 2-2.
Did Everton vs. Hull City go over or under the goals total?
The match went over 2.5, finishing with four goals. AiQ had taken the under at 53% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Everton vs. Hull City predictions do?
AiQ finished 2-3 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Everton at -105 — LOSS (-$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 2.5 — LOSS
- Player props: 2-1 (+$371.74 on $100 per pick)
The model missed the moneyline and total but recovered through player prop selections, netting a profit on that segment.
Everton vs. Hull City player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 2-1, netting +$371.74 on $100 stakes.
- Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City) over 0.5 shots on target at -109; actual 1 — WIN
- Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City) to record a goal scorer anytime at +380; actual 1 — WIN
- Ainsley Maitland-Niles (Everton) to record a goal scorer anytime at +1300; actual 0 — LOSS
Belloumi's two wins drove the positive return.
Everton vs. Hull City game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: match drawn, stakes refunded.
- Both teams to score: Yes, paid -125.
Everton vs. Hull City odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Everton -105, Draw +227, Hull City +297, implying win probabilities of 48% for Everton, 29% for a draw, and 24% for Hull City after removing the 7.0% vig. AiQ's pre-match expected value for Everton was -2.9% at +110, indicating the price was negative-EV. The model's calibrated probability of 46% matched the market's vig-free estimate, but the offered price did not justify the pick.
Everton and Hull City betting trends: 2026-27 season
Everton sit at 2-4-0 in six matches, unbeaten at home (2-1-0) but winless away (0-3-0). In five games with a recorded total, they have gone under four times and over once. Hull City are 2-3-1 in six games, with a home record of 1-2-0 and away/neutral of 1-1-1. Their five recorded totals also show one over and four unders. Both teams have favored the under this season.
What's next for Everton and Hull City?
Everton travel to Arsenal on Saturday, October 24. Hull City host Brentford on Sunday, October 25.