Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 12:30 PM ET · The City Ground · Premier League

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Manchester City at Nottingham Forest is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at The City Ground.

The story

Manchester City have won 10 and lost 3 of their 13 matches this season, winning three of the last five. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their 9 matches this season, without a win in the last five. Nottingham Forest come in with more rest: their last match was on October 31, seven days before this one, while Manchester City played three days before. When these teams last met, on March 4, 2026, they drew 2-2.

Matchups to watch

• Strength against strength in shots. Nottingham Forest averaged 16.9 shots per match this season, the 2nd most in the Premier League, and Manchester City faced 10.6 shots per match, the 3rd fewest.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Manchester City a 58% confidence rating to beat Nottingham Forest, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 56.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 56.9%. The price on record, -140, is priced below the fair price of -132 (−2.5% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the under 2.5 goals a 55% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 42.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 41.3%. The best price, +128 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of +135 (−3.1% value).

Trends in play

Recent totals lean under. Manchester City went under the total in 8 of their last 10 matches.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.