Buffalo Bills defeat Minnesota Vikings 23-6: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Nov 9, 2026 · NFL · Buffalo Bills 23, Minnesota Vikings 6
The Buffalo Bills beat the Minnesota Vikings 23-6 on Monday, November 9, 2026, at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Buffalo Bills covered the spread as 3-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 45.5, with 29 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings final score and game recap
The Buffalo Bills led 3-0 after the first quarter and 10-6 at halftime. They outscored the Minnesota Vikings 13-0 in the second half, 10-0 in the fourth quarter alone. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- James Cook III (Buffalo Bills): 31 carries for 107 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills): 21/31 passing for 234 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception.
- Justin Jefferson (Minnesota Vikings): 3 catches for 58 yards.
- Jordan Mason (Minnesota Vikings): 6 carries for 35 yards.
Who covered the spread in Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings?
The Buffalo Bills covered the spread as 3-point favorites, winning by 17 points.
The spread opened and closed at Buffalo Bills -3.
Did Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings go over or under the total?
The game went under: 29 points combined against a closing total of 45.5, under by 16.5. 16 of the 29 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 44 and closed at 45.5.
How did AiQ's Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Buffalo Bills to win at -192, a win (+$52.08 on a $100 bet).
Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: Buffalo Bills won the first quarter, paying -125.
- First-quarter total 8.5: the under, paying -108, with 3 points scored.
- First-half total 23.5: the under, paying -122, with 16 points scored.
- First-half spread: Buffalo Bills -1.5 covered, paying -112.
- Minnesota Vikings team total 21.5: the under, paying -118, with 6 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Buffalo Bills won the first half, paying -142.
- Buffalo Bills team total 24.5: the under, paying -118, with 23 scored.
Buffalo Bills vs. Minnesota Vikings odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Buffalo Bills at -193 and the Minnesota Vikings at +160. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Buffalo Bills a 63% favorite. The Buffalo Bills won as the favorite at -193: $51.81 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Buffalo Bills, the best price before the game was -186 at FanDuel: priced below fair (−1.5% value).
The total moved up from 44 to 45.5, and the game went under.
Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Buffalo Bills 7-1 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 4-0 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 6 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 3 times. That made it four straight wins for the Buffalo Bills.
This result left the Minnesota Vikings 6-2 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 3-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 8 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 7 times. That made it two straight losses for the Minnesota Vikings.
What's next for Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings?
Next for the Buffalo Bills: at the New York Jets on Sunday, November 15, 2026. Next for the Minnesota Vikings: at the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, November 15, 2026.