Green Bay Packers vs New England Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 8
Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET · Gillette Stadium · NFL
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots is on Sunday, November 8, 2026, at Gillette Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Green Bay Packers 21, New England Patriots 25. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
Both teams have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Green Bay Packers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 29, ten days before this one, while the New England Patriots played seven days before.
Matchups to watch
- An uphill climb on the ground. The Green Bay Packers averaged 60.6 rushing yards per game this season, the fewest in the NFL, and the New England Patriots allowed 92.6 rushing yards per game, the 6th fewest.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots a 60.9% chance to beat Green Bay Packers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price is -165 at BetMGM.
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 50.8% and the under at 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Green Bay Packers +3 a 49.1% chance to cover and New England Patriots -3 50.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
The total pulls both ways. The last 5 games involving the New England Patriots went over the total. Meanwhile, the last 5 games involving the Green Bay Packers went under the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Green Bay Packers, the underdog here. The Green Bay Packers covered the spread in 5 straight games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.