New England Patriots defeat Miami Dolphins 24-19: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Nov 1, 2026 · NFL · New England Patriots 24, Miami Dolphins 19
The New England Patriots beat the Miami Dolphins 24-19 on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium. The Miami Dolphins covered the spread as 7-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 41.5, with 43 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins final score and game recap
It was 3-3 after the first quarter. The Miami Dolphins led 13-3 at halftime. The New England Patriots outscored the Miami Dolphins 21-6 in the second half, 14-0 in the third quarter alone. They came back from a 10-point halftime deficit.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Drake Maye (New England Patriots): 16/20 passing for 199 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- DeMario Douglas (New England Patriots): 3 catches for 76 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): 21/32 passing for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- Ollie Gordon II (Miami Dolphins): 19 carries for 69 yards.
Who covered the spread in New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins?
The Miami Dolphins covered the spread as 7-point underdogs, losing by 5 points.
The spread opened and closed at New England Patriots -7.
Did New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins go over or under the total?
The game went over: 43 points combined against a closing total of 41.5, over by 1.5. 16 of the 43 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 43.5 and closed at 41.5.
How did AiQ's New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the New England Patriots to win at -345, a win (+$28.99 on a $100 bet).
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Miami Dolphins team total 16.5: the over, paying -118, with 19 scored.
- New England Patriots team total 24.5: the under, paying -120, with 24 scored.
- First-half spread: Miami Dolphins +3.5 covered, paying -105.
- First-half total 21.5: the under, paying -120, with 16 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Miami Dolphins won the first half, paying +190.
- First-quarter moneyline: the first quarter was tied, so bets were refunded.
- First-quarter total 7.5: the under, paying -120, with 6 points scored.
New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the New England Patriots at -350 and the Miami Dolphins at +275. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the New England Patriots a 74% favorite. The New England Patriots won as the favorite at -350: $28.57 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the New England Patriots, the price before the game was -345: priced below fair (−1.5% value).
The total moved down from 43.5 to 41.5, and the game went over.
New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the New England Patriots 5-3 in the 2026 regular season (3-0 at home, 2-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 8 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 3 times.
This result left the Miami Dolphins 1-6 in the 2026 regular season (0-3 at home, 1-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 7 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 4 times and under 3 times.
What's next for New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins?
Next for the New England Patriots: the Green Bay Packers at home on Sunday, November 8, 2026. Next for the Miami Dolphins: the Detroit Lions at home on Sunday, November 8, 2026.