Houston Texans defeat Jacksonville Jaguars 34-31: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · NFL · Houston Texans 34, Jacksonville Jaguars 31
Houston Texans defeated Jacksonville Jaguars 34–31 at Wembley Stadium on Sunday, October 18, covering the +2.5 spread. The game finished at 65 points, clearing the 42-point total by 23.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars final score and game recap
The Texans built an early lead with 7 points in the first quarter, then traded scoring with Jacksonville through the second. Houston led 17–14 at halftime after Jacksonville outscored Houston 14–10 in the period. The Texans extended their advantage to 31–21 with 14 third-quarter points while Jacksonville managed only a touchdown. Jacksonville closed the gap in the fourth with 10 points to Houston's 3, but fell short at 34–31.
C.J. Stroud completed 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jaylin Noel caught 4 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown. Trevor Lawrence went 24 of 41 for 306 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Bhayshul Tuten hauled in 4 catches for 48 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Who covered the spread in Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars?
Houston Texans covered as the +2.5 underdog, winning outright by 3 points. Jacksonville Jaguars closed as 2.5-point favorites; the line did not move.
Did Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars go over or under the total?
The game went over 42. Combined scoring reached 65 points—31 by halftime and 34 in the second half. The total opened at 42.5 and shifted down 0.5 to 42 before kickoff.
How did AiQ's Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars predictions do?
AiQ finished 39–37 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Jacksonville Jaguars at -138 — LOSS.
- Player props: 39–36.
AiQ's strength in prop modeling was offset by misses on straight-up outcomes.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars player prop results
AiQ went 39–36 on player props. Notable results:
- Woody Marks under 65.5 rushing-receiving yards at -111; actual 81 — LOSS.
- C.J. Stroud over 9.5 rushing yards at -118; actual 5 — LOSS.
- C.J. Stroud over 269.5 passing yards at -113; actual 317 — WIN.
- Bhayshul Tuten over 10.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 48 — WIN.
- Xavier Hutchinson over 1.5 receptions at -118; actual 2 — WIN.
- Will Anderson Jr. over 0.75 sacks at -125; actual 0 — LOSS.
- Dalton Schultz under 30.5 receiving yards at -115; actual 33 — LOSS.
- Nico Collins over 73.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 74 — WIN.
- Brian Thomas Jr. under 18.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 0 — WIN.
- C.J. Stroud over 255.5 passing yards at -113; actual 312 — WIN.
- Brenton Strange over 37.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 44 — WIN.
- Parker Washington under 63.5 receiving yards at -111; actual 64 — LOSS.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
- First-half moneyline: Houston Texans won, paid +110.
- First-half total 20.5: Over, paid -108; 31 points scored.
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under, paid -130; 7 points scored.
- Houston Texans team total 20.5: Over, paid +102; scored 34.
- Jacksonville Jaguars team total 22.5: Over, paid -111; scored 31.
- First-quarter moneyline: Houston Texans won, paid +102.
- First-half spread: Houston Texans +0.5 covered, paid -110.
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Houston Texans +118 and Jacksonville Jaguars -138, implying win probabilities of 44% and 56% after removing the 3.9% vig. A $100 wager on Houston returned $118. AiQ's moneyline expectation was priced at -135, representing a -2.0% expected-value edge—the model favored the side but not at a profitable price.
Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars betting trends: 2026 season
Houston Texans sit 2–4 overall with a 2–4 record against the spread and 3–3 on the over-under in six games with a recorded closing line. They have won their last two games. Jacksonville Jaguars stand 4–2 overall with a 3–3 record against the spread and 2–4 on the over-under in six games with a recorded closing line.
What's next for Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars?
Houston Texans will face New York Giants on Sunday, October 25. Jacksonville Jaguars will face Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, November 1.