Buffalo Bills defeat Los Angeles Rams 37-34: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Oct 12, 2026 · NFL · Buffalo Bills 37, Los Angeles Rams 34
Buffalo Bills defeated Los Angeles Rams 37–34 in overtime Monday at SoFi Stadium, covering the +3.5 spread while the total sailed over 55.5 by 15.5 points.
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams final score and game recap
Buffalo led 13–7 at halftime. The Bills extended their lead to 19–14 after three quarters. The fourth quarter saw Los Angeles outscore Buffalo to force overtime at 34–34. Buffalo won in overtime for the final 37–34 margin.
James Cook III led Buffalo with 111 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. Josh Allen added 121 rushing yards and one touchdown on 10 carries. Matthew Stafford completed 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards and three touchdowns for Los Angeles. Puka Nacua caught 17 passes for 138 yards and one touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams?
Buffalo Bills covered as the +3.5 underdog, winning outright by three points. The spread opened at Los Angeles Rams –3 and closed at –3.5, a half-point shift toward the home team that proved insufficient.
Did Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams go over or under the total?
The game went over 55.5 by 15.5 points, finishing at 71 combined points. The total opened at 54.5 and moved up one point to 55.5. Scoring surged in the fourth quarter and overtime.
How did AiQ's Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams predictions do?
AiQ finished 49–24 across all graded picks on this game.
- Moneyline: Los Angeles Rams at –179 — LOSS
- Player props: 49–23
AiQ took the Rams on the moneyline at –179, a negative-expected-value price of –2.3% at the best available line. AiQ's calibrated win probability for Los Angeles matched the market's implied 62% (after removing vigorish), but the price did not offer value. The Rams lost outright, delivering a –$100 result on a $100 wager.
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams player prop results
AiQ's player prop record stood at 49–23.
- Kyren Williams over 98.5 rushing-receiving yards at –115 — actual 76 — LOSS
- Matthew Stafford over 36.5 pass attempts at –119 — actual 54 — WIN
- Blake Corum under 7.5 rushing attempts at –125 — actual 5 — WIN
- James Cook III over 75.5 rushing yards at –114 — actual 111 — WIN
- Dalton Kincaid under 4.5 receptions at –138 — actual 1 — WIN
- Matthew Stafford under 2.5 passing touchdowns at –162 — actual 3 — LOSS
- Greg Rousseau over 0.25 sacks at +111 — actual 0 — LOSS
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown at –130 — actual 1 — WIN
- Matthew Stafford over 0.5 rushing yards at –122 — actual 0 — LOSS
- Keon Coleman over 39.5 receiving yards at –114 — actual 7 — LOSS
- Matthew Stafford over 23.5 pass completions at –125 — actual 40 — WIN
- Davante Adams over 61.5 receiving yards at –113 — actual 51 — LOSS
AiQ recorded 49 wins and 23 losses across all player props on this game, including 60 additional picks not listed above.
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
- Los Angeles Rams team total 29.5: Over (paid –122); they scored 34
- Buffalo Bills team total 26.5: Over (paid –113); they scored 37
- First-half spread: Buffalo Bills +2.5 covered (paid –108)
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid –142); 6 points scored
- First-half moneyline: Buffalo Bills won the first half (paid +136)
- First-quarter moneyline: Buffalo Bills won the first quarter (paid +114)
- First-half total 26.5: Under (paid –105); 20 points scored
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline closed at Buffalo Bills +150 and Los Angeles Rams –179, implying win probabilities of 38% for Buffalo and 62% for Los Angeles after removing the 4.2% vigorish. The Bills won, paying +150 on a $100 wager. AiQ's moneyline expectation was calibrated at 62% for Los Angeles, matching the market's implied probability, but the best available price was –175, a negative-expected-value line. Late money shifted the spread half a point toward Los Angeles, yet the underdog Bills covered.
Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams betting trends: 2026 season
Buffalo Bills sit 4–1 overall with a 4–1 record against the spread in five games with a recorded closing spread. They have hit the over in four of five total lines. Their last five results: W, L, W, W, W.
Los Angeles Rams stand 2–3 overall with a 2–3 record against the spread in five games with a recorded closing spread. They are 3–2 on the over-under. Their last five results: L, W, L, W, L.
What's next for Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams?
Buffalo Bills host Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, November 1. Los Angeles Rams travel to Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, October 25.