Green Bay Packers defeat Chicago Bears 31-7: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Chicago Bears 7, Green Bay Packers 31
Green Bay Packers defeated Chicago Bears 31-7 at Lambeau Field on Sunday, October 11, covering the +1.5 spread as an underdog and finishing under the 46.5 total.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers final score and game recap
The Packers controlled the game after the opening quarter. Green Bay scored first for a 7-0 lead, Chicago answered with a rushing touchdown to make it 7-7, then Green Bay extended to 14-7 by halftime. The Packers added nine points in the third quarter and eight more in the fourth to close out a 31-7 win.
Jordan Love completed 25 of 31 passes for 367 yards and two touchdowns without an interception. Christian Watson caught six passes for 143 yards and two scores. For Chicago, D'Andre Swift rushed nine times for 43 yards and one touchdown, while Luther Burden III had four receptions for 47 yards.
Who covered the spread in Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers?
Green Bay Packers covered at +1.5. Chicago opened as a 1.5-point favorite, but Green Bay won outright by 24 points, far exceeding the margin required. The spread did not move from open to close.
Did Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers go over or under the total?
The game finished under 46.5 with 38 combined points. The total opened at 45.5 and moved up one point to 46.5 before kickoff, finishing 8.5 points below the closing line.
How did AiQ's Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers predictions do?
AiQ finished 27-28 across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Picked Chicago Bears at -122 — loss.
- Spread: Picked Green Bay Packers +1.5 — win.
- Total: Picked under 46.5 — win.
- Player props: 27-27 record.
AiQ's moneyline pick favored Chicago despite the Packers' upset victory. The model assigned 53% win probability to the Bears, matching the market's implied probability after vig removal. At -120, the best available price, AiQ's expected value was -3.2%, meaning the model liked the side but not the offered odds.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers player prop results
AiQ's player prop slate ended 27-27. Notable results:
- Jordan Love under 252.5 passing yards at -114; actual 367 yards — loss.
- Christian Watson over 64.5 receiving yards at -110; actual 143 yards — win.
- Luther Burden III over 46.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 47 yards — win.
- D'Andre Swift under 19.5 receiving yards at -111; actual 30 yards — loss.
- Rome Odunze over 2.5 receptions at -178; actual 3 — win.
- Rome Odunze over 41.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 40 yards — loss.
- Kaleb Johnson under 9.5 rushing attempts at -135; actual 7 — win.
- MarShawn Lloyd under 27.5 rushing yards at -113; actual 31 yards — loss.
- MarShawn Lloyd under 46.5 rush-reception yards at -111; actual 37 yards — win.
- Colston Loveland over 3.5 receptions at -140; actual 2 — loss.
- Matthew Golden anytime touchdown at +210; actual 0 — loss.
- Kalif Raymond over 27.5 receiving yards at -108; actual 6 yards — loss.
The remaining 42 picks round out the even record.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
- First-quarter total 9.5: Under paid -112; 7 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Green Bay Packers won, paid -102.
- First-half total 22.5: Under paid +100; 21 points scored.
- First-half spread: Green Bay Packers +0.5 covered, paid -118.
- First-half moneyline: Green Bay Packers won, paid +102.
- Chicago Bears team total 23.5: Under paid -106; 7 points scored.
- Green Bay Packers team total 23.5: Over paid +100; 31 points scored.
Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Chicago Bears -122 and Green Bay Packers +102, implying a 53% win probability for Chicago after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.5%. A $100 bet on Green Bay at +102 paid $102 profit. The Packers were the moneyline underdog and won outright.
Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers betting trends: 2026 season
Both teams stand at 3-2 through five games. Chicago is 2-1 at home and 1-1 on the road, covering the spread in three of five games with a recorded line. The Bears have gone under the total in four of five outings. Green Bay is 1-1 at home and 2-1 away, covering the spread in two of five games and hitting the over in two of five. The Packers have won two straight.
What's next for Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers?
The Bears host the New England Patriots on Thursday, October 22. The Packers travel to Detroit to face the Lions on Sunday, October 25.