Denver Broncos defeat Los Angeles Chargers 23-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17
Denver Broncos 23, Los Angeles Chargers 17; Denver covered the -3.5 spread; the total went under 42.5.
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers final score and game recap
Denver controlled the first half at SoFi Stadium, building a 10-3 lead behind J.K. Dobbins' early touchdown and efficient quarterback play from Bo Nix. Denver responded with 13 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to seal a 23-17 victory.
Dobbins led Denver's ground game with 18 carries for 68 yards and a rushing touchdown. Nix completed 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards and one touchdown. For Los Angeles, Justin Herbert threw for 121 yards, one touchdown and one interception, while Kimani Vidal rushed for 57 yards and a touchdown on eight carries.
Who covered the spread in Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers?
Denver Broncos covered the -3.5 spread. As the favorite, they won by six points, exceeding the line by 2.5. The spread opened and closed at Denver -3.5 with no movement.
Did Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers go over or under the total?
The game went under the 42.5 total, finishing with 40 combined points. Denver scored 7-3-0-13 by quarter; Los Angeles scored 0-3-14-0. The total opened at 42 and moved up half a point to 42.5.
How did AiQ's Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers predictions do?
AiQ posted a 32-23 record across every graded pick on this contest.
- Moneyline: Picked Denver Broncos at -189, result WIN (+$52.91 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 31-23 record.
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate finished 31-23. Notable results:
- Bo Nix under 14.5 rushing yards at -108; actual 10 — WIN.
- Evan Engram under 18.5 receiving yards at -111; actual 55 — LOSS.
- Keaton Mitchell over 33.5 rushing yards at -111; actual 11 — LOSS.
- Oronde Gadsden under 33.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 0 — WIN.
- Evan Engram under 2.5 receptions at -136; actual 4 — LOSS.
- Oronde Gadsden under 3.5 receptions at -125; actual 0 — WIN.
- Omarion Hampton over 52.5 rush-reception yards at -110; actual 39 — LOSS.
- Tre' Harris over 54.5 receiving yards at -111; actual 16 — LOSS.
- Justin Herbert under 5.5 rushing attempts at -139; actual 6 — LOSS.
- RJ Harvey over 25.5 receiving yards at -115; actual 0 — LOSS.
- RJ Harvey over 4.5 receptions at +122; actual 0 — LOSS.
- Courtland Sutton under 39.5 receiving yards at -110; actual 18 — WIN.
Forty-two additional prop picks contributed to the overall 31-23 tally.
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under (paid -130); 7 points were scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Denver Broncos won the quarter (paid -130).
- First-half moneyline: Denver Broncos won the half (paid -148).
- Denver Broncos team total 23.5: Under (paid -128); the Broncos finished with 23.
- Los Angeles Chargers team total 19.5: Under (paid -115); the Chargers finished with 17.
- First-half total 20.5: Under (paid -112); 13 points were recorded.
- First-half spread: Denver Broncos -1.5 covered (paid -108).
Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline listed Denver Broncos at -189 and Los Angeles Chargers at +158, implying a 63% win probability for Denver once the vig was removed. The bookmaker's margin sat at 4.2%. The spread held steady at Denver -3.5 throughout the week, moving from an opening total of 42 to a closing total of 42.5. A $100 wager at -189 returned $52.91 profit. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expectation was calibrated at 64%, matching the market's implied probability.
Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers betting trends: 2026 season
The Denver Broncos sit at 3-2 overall, with a perfect 2-0 record at home and a 1-2 mark on the road. In five games with a recorded closing spread, they are 3-2 against the spread, while their total line record stands at 1 over and 4 unders. Their recent five-game stretch reads W, L, W, W, L.
The Los Angeles Chargers are 0-5 overall, winless both at home (0-3) and away (0-2). They are 0-4-1 against the spread in five games with a closing spread and have gone under the total four times, over once. They are in the midst of a five-game losing streak.
What's next for Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers?
The Broncos travel to Arizona on Sunday, October 25, to face the Cardinals. The Chargers travel to Los Angeles on Sunday, November 1, to face the Rams.