Minnesota Vikings defeat New Orleans Saints 23-13: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Minnesota Vikings 23, New Orleans Saints 13
Minnesota Vikings 23, New Orleans Saints 13 – the Vikings covered the –2.5 spread and the game finished under the 41.5 total.
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints final score and game recap
Minnesota scored 3 points in the first quarter and 3 in the second quarter, trailing 6–7 at halftime. The teams were tied 13–13 after three quarters before Minnesota outscored New Orleans 10–0 in the fourth quarter to win 23–13.
Kyler Murray completed 24 of 30 passes for 229 yards and one touchdown without an interception. Aaron Jones Sr. carried 25 times for 113 yards and a rushing touchdown. For New Orleans, Kendre Miller rushed 10 times for 30 yards and a touchdown, while Chris Olave caught four passes for 46 yards.
Who covered the spread in Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints?
The Minnesota Vikings covered the –2.5 spread, winning by 10 points. The line opened at New Orleans Saints +2 and closed at New Orleans Saints +2.5, a 0.5-point shift toward Minnesota.
Did Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints go over or under the total?
The game went under the 41.5 total with 36 combined points, finishing 5.5 points shy of the line. The total opened at 42 and closed at 41.5.
How did AiQ's Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints predictions do?
AiQ posted a 25–27 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Minnesota Vikings at –139 – WIN (+$71.94 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 24–27
The model's moneyline estimate of 56% matched the sportsbook's implied probability (vig removed), but the best available price was –134, making the –139 line a negative-expected-value proposition despite the eventual win.
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record stood at 24–27. Only two of the listed props hit:
- Aaron Jones Sr. over 2.5 receptions at –176 – WIN (3)
- Jauan Jennings under 21.5 receiving yards at –111 – WIN (0)
Misses included Chris Olave over 80.5 receiving yards (46), Tyler Shough over 22.5 completions (16), and T.J. Hockenson over 41.5 receiving yards (7).
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints game prop results: first half, first quarter and team totals
- First-half moneyline: New Orleans Saints won the first half (paid +105)
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under (paid –135); 3 points scored
- Minnesota Vikings team total 21.5: Over (paid –113); they scored 23
- First-quarter moneyline: Minnesota Vikings won the first quarter (paid –130)
- First-half spread: New Orleans Saints +0.5 covered (paid –115)
- First-half total 20.5: Under (paid –112); 13 points scored
- New Orleans Saints team total 20.5: Under (paid –130); they scored 13
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Vikings entered as –139 favorites, implying a 56% win probability after removing the 4.5% vig. A $100 wager on Minnesota returned $71.94. AiQ's internal estimate also sat at 56%, but the best price available was –134, making the –139 line a negative-expected-value proposition for the model. The spread migrated 0.5 points toward Minnesota, and that side covered comfortably. The total slipped half a point to 41.5, and the under hit.
Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints betting trends: 2026 season
The Vikings sit 5–0 overall, 2–0 at home and 3–0 on the road. In five games with a recorded closing spread they are 4–1 against the spread, while they are 1–4 over/under with four unders and one over. They have won five consecutive games.
The Saints sit 1–4 overall, 0–3 at home and 1–1 away. They are 2–3 against the spread in five games with a closing line and 3–2 over/under. They are on a three-game losing streak.
What's next for Minnesota Vikings and New Orleans Saints?
The Vikings will host the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, October 25. The Saints will host the Pittsburgh Steelers on the same day.