New England Patriots defeat Las Vegas Raiders 45-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Las Vegas Raiders 17, New England Patriots 45
New England Patriots defeated Las Vegas Raiders 45-17 and the game went over the 45.5 total.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots final score and game recap
By halftime, the scoreboard read 21-7 in New England's favor.
The third quarter sealed the outcome. The Patriots added 14 more points to reach 35, while the Raiders scored only a field goal to make it 35-10. Las Vegas scored a touchdown in the fourth, and New England answered with 10 points to finish at 45-17.
Drake Maye led the Patriots' offense with 374 passing yards and four touchdowns on 26-of-34 completions. Kyle Williams caught 3 passes for 91 yards and a touchdown. Kirk Cousins completed 19 of 28 passes for 243 yards and one touchdown for Las Vegas. Brock Bowers caught 8 passes for 110 yards and a receiving touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots?
New England Patriots covered the -3.5 spread. The Patriots won by 28 points, far exceeding the closing line. The spread remained at -3.5 from open to close.
Did Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots go over or under the total?
The game went over the 45.5 total, finishing with 62 combined points. The total opened at 45 and moved up half a point to 45.5.
How did AiQ's Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots predictions do?
AiQ finished 30-30 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: New England Patriots at -182 – WIN (+$54.95 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 29-30 – net loss of $464.73 on $100 per pick at listed prices
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 29-30, netting a $464.73 loss across 59 picks.
- Tre Tucker over 3.5 receptions at -107 – actual 4 – WIN
- Michael Mayer over 3.5 receptions at -107 – actual 1 – LOSS
- Tre Tucker over 42.5 receiving yards at -113 – actual 41 – LOSS
- TreVeyon Henderson under 7.5 receiving yards at -111 – actual 16 – LOSS
- TreVeyon Henderson under 1.5 receptions at -159 – actual 1 – WIN
- TreVeyon Henderson under 57.5 rush reception yards at -111 – actual 38 – WIN
- Michael Mayer over 30.5 receiving yards at -112 – actual 2 – LOSS
- Elijah Ponder over 0.25 sacks at +155 – actual 2 – WIN
- Kyle Williams over 14.5 receiving yards at -108 – actual 91 – WIN
- Ashton Jeanty over 3.5 receptions at -105 – actual 3 – LOSS
- Brock Bowers anytime touchdown at +140 – actual 1 – WIN
- Romeo Doubs over 3.5 receptions at -131 – actual 1 – LOSS
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: New England Patriots won the quarter (paid -155)
- First-half moneyline: New England Patriots won the half (paid -180)
- Raiders team total 20.5: Under (paid -113); they finished with 17
- Patriots team total 24.5: Over (paid -102); they finished with 45
- First-half total 22.5: Over (paid -120); 28 points were scored
- First-quarter total 7.5: Over (paid +102); 21 points were scored
- First-half spread: New England Patriots -2.5 covered (paid -122)
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Las Vegas Raiders +151 and New England Patriots -182, implying a 38% chance for the Raiders and 62% for the Patriots after removing the vig. The bookmaker's margin was 4.4%. AiQ's pre-game expected-value calculation placed the Patriots at -0.9% at -180, a negative-expected-value price. The market's implied 64% win probability matched AiQ's calibrated estimate, indicating the line accurately reflected the model's confidence.
Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots betting trends: 2026 season
The Raiders sit at 3-2 overall, 1-1 at home and 2-1 on the road. They are 4-1 against the spread in five games with recorded lines and have hit the over three times and the under twice. Their last five results read loss, loss, win, win, win, leaving them on a two-game losing streak.
The Patriots also sit at 3-2, unbeaten at home (2-0) but 1-2 away. Their against-the-spread record is 3-1-1 in five games, and they have gone under three times and over twice. Their recent stretch is win, win, loss, win, loss, giving them a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots?
The Raiders will host the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, October 25. The Patriots travel to face the Chicago Bears on Thursday, October 22.