Houston Texans defeat Tennessee Titans 26-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Houston Texans 26, Tennessee Titans 3
Houston Texans 26, Tennessee Titans 3 – the Texans covered the -6.5 spread and the game finished under the 37.5 total.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans final score and game recap
The Texans methodically built a lead at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, October 11, scoring in every quarter while holding Tennessee to a single first-quarter field goal. After a 3-3 tie through 15 minutes, Houston outscored the Titans 9-0 in the second quarter to reach halftime up 12-3. The Texans added 7 points in each of the final two quarters while Tennessee managed nothing, finishing 26-3.
Quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards and one touchdown with no interceptions. Wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson caught four passes for 65 yards. For Tennessee, Cam Ward went 23 of 36 for 170 yards, one interception and no touchdowns. Wan'Dale Robinson led the Titans with six catches for 53 yards.
Who covered the spread in Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans?
Houston Texans covered the -6.5 spread, winning by 23 points. The spread opened at Tennessee Titans +7.5 and closed at +6.5, with money moving one point toward Tennessee. The Texans' margin far exceeded the closing line.
Did Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans go over or under the total?
The game went under the 37.5 total, with a combined 29 points scored. The total opened at 38 and closed at 37.5, moving down half a point. The final result fell 8.5 points under the closing number.
How did AiQ's Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans predictions do?
AiQ finished 35-34 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Houston Texans at -307 – WIN (+$32.57 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Houston Texans -6.5 – WIN
- Total: Under 37.5 – WIN
- Player props: 34-34 – net loss of $620.39 on $100 per pick
AiQ correctly identified the Texans as the winner and the under total. Player-prop selections split evenly, resulting in a sizable monetary loss despite the 1-1 record on sides and totals.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 34-34, netting a $620.39 loss on $100 per pick at listed prices.
- Calvin Ridley over 8.5 receiving yards at -110 – actual 33 – WIN
- C.J. Stroud over 10.5 rushing yards at -105 – actual 5 – LOSS
- Elic Ayomanor over 14.5 receiving yards at -117 – actual 17 – WIN
- Woody Marks under 9.5 rushing attempts at -139 – actual 15 – LOSS
- Tyjae Spears under 10.5 receiving yards at -113 – actual 28 – LOSS
- Xavier Hutchinson over 13.5 receiving yards at -115 – actual 65 – WIN
- Woody Marks anytime touchdown at +240 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Jaylin Noel over 20.5 receiving yards at -109 – actual 41 – WIN
- Woody Marks under 8.5 receiving yards at -118 – actual 23 – LOSS
- Woody Marks under 1.5 receptions at -112 – actual 4 – LOSS
- Tyjae Spears under 28.5 rush reception yards at -117 – actual 28 – WIN
- Gunnar Helm under 2.5 receptions at -162 – actual 0 – WIN
Woody Marks missed multiple prop lines, accounting for much of the shortfall.
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
- First-quarter moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- Tennessee Titans team total 15.5: Under (paid -115); Titans scored 3
- First-half spread: Houston Texans -3.5 covered (paid +102)
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under (paid -155); 6 points were scored
- First-half moneyline: Houston Texans won the first half (paid -205)
- First-half total 18.5: Under (paid -108); 15 points were scored
- Houston Texans team total 22.5: Over (paid -111); Texans scored 26
Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Texans closed at -307 favorites, implying a 73% win probability after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin was 4.0%. A $100 bet on Houston at -307 returned $32.57 profit.
AiQ's pre-game moneyline expected value was -0.8% at -320, a negative-EV price despite the model's 76% confidence matching the market's implied 76% after vig removal. The spread moved one point toward Tennessee, yet the Texans still covered comfortably. The total slipped half a point lower, reflecting modest market adjustment before the under result.
Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans betting trends: 2026 season
The Texans sit 1-4 overall, 0-3 at home and 1-1 away/neutral. Their against-the-spread record in five games with a closing spread is 1-4, and they have hit the over twice and the under three times. Recent results: W, L, L, L, L.
The Titans are 0-5 overall, 0-3 at home and 0-2 away/neutral. Their against-the-spread record in five games with a closing spread is 2-3, and they have gone over once and under four times. They have lost five consecutive games.
What's next for Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans?
The Texans will host the New York Giants on Sunday, October 25. The Titans will host the Cleveland Browns on the same day.