New York Jets defeat Cleveland Browns 17-12: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Cleveland Browns 12, New York Jets 17
The New York Jets defeated the Cleveland Browns 17–12 on Sunday at MetLife Stadium, covering the -2.5 spread. The game finished under the 38.5 total at 29 combined points.
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets final score and game recap
A defensive stalemate defined the night. Cleveland added a field goal in the second to trail 7-6, but neither team scored in the third. The fourth quarter saw both teams score, with Cleveland reaching 12 and the Jets reaching 17. Final: Jets 17, Browns 12.
Who covered the spread in Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets?
The New York Jets covered as -2.5 favorites, winning by 5. The line opened at -1.5 and drifted to -2.5, money flowing toward New York.
Did Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets go over or under the total?
The game went under 38.5, finishing at 29 points—9.5 points below the line. Scoring was front-loaded: 10 points in the first quarter, 3 in the second, none in the third, and 16 in the fourth. The total opened at 40 and dropped to 38.5.
How did AiQ's Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets predictions do?
AiQ finished 28–34–1 across all graded picks. On the main markets:
- Moneyline: Picked New York Jets at -142; result WIN (+$70.42 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 27–34–1 overall.
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets player prop results
AiQ's player prop slate finished 27–34–1. Notable misses included:
- Braelon Allen under 17.5 rushing attempts at -131; actual 24 — LOSS.
- Deshaun Watson over 6.5 rushing attempts at +108; actual 6 — LOSS.
- Deshaun Watson over 221.5 passing yards at -113; actual 195 — LOSS.
- Geno Smith over 194.5 passing yards at -111; actual 182 — LOSS.
Wins were sparse:
- Quinshon Judkins under 59.5 rushing yards at -111; actual 44 — WIN.
- Quinshon Judkins over 2.5 receptions at -115; actual 3 — WIN.
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets game prop results: first half, team totals and first quarter
- First-half total 19.5: Under (paid -115); 13 points scored.
- New York Jets team total 19.5: Under (paid +104); Jets finished with 17.
- First-half moneyline: New York Jets won the first half (paid -135).
- First-quarter moneyline: New York Jets won the first quarter (paid -122).
- First-quarter total 7.5: Over (paid +124); 10 points scored.
- Cleveland Browns team total 17.5: Under (paid -113); Browns finished with 12.
- First-half spread: New York Jets -0.5 covered (paid -112).
Cleveland Browns vs. New York Jets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The Jets opened at -142, implying a 56% win probability after vig removal; the Browns were +119 at 44%. The bookmaker's vig was 4.3%. AiQ's pre-game moneyline estimate was also 56%, but the best available price on FanDuel was -132, a negative-expected-value line of -1.2%. The model liked the Jets but not the price. The spread moved one point toward New York, from -1.5 to -2.5, and the favorite covered. The total dropped 1.5 points from 40 to 38.5.
Cleveland Browns and New York Jets betting trends: 2026 season
The Browns are 3–2 overall, 2–0 at home and 1–2 away. Against the spread they sit 3–2 in five games with recorded lines; they have hit three overs and two unders. Their last five results: loss, win, win, win, loss.
The Jets are 2–3 overall, 1–1 at home and 1–2 away. Against the spread they are 3–1–1 in five games; they have gone under four times and over once. Their recent stretch: win, loss, loss, loss, win.
What's next for Cleveland Browns and New York Jets?
The Browns travel to Tennessee to face the Titans on Sunday, October 25. The Jets host Miami on Sunday, October 25.