Cincinnati Bengals defeat Miami Dolphins 31-24: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · NFL · Cincinnati Bengals 31, Miami Dolphins 24
Cincinnati Bengals beat Miami Dolphins 31–24, pushing the spread at Miami +7, while the total went over 44.5.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins final score and game recap
The Bengals controlled the first half at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, October 11, building a 21–7 lead by intermission. Both teams scored touchdowns in the opening quarter to tie at 7–7, but Cincinnati added two more in the second while Miami was shut out. Cincinnati scored a touchdown in the third quarter to extend their lead to 28–10, though Miami rallied with two fourth-quarter touchdowns to close within seven.
Joe Burrow completed 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards and four touchdowns without an interception. Ja'Marr Chase caught six passes for 77 yards and a score. For Miami, Ollie Gordon II rushed 18 times for 88 yards and a touchdown, while Malik Willis added eight carries for 74 yards and another rushing score.
Who covered the spread in Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins?
The spread resulted in a push. Cincinnati entered as a 7-point favorite and won by exactly seven, so neither side covered. The line opened at Miami +6.5 and closed at Miami +7, moving 0.5 points toward the Bengals.
Did Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins go over or under the total?
The game went over. Combined scoring reached 55 points, exceeding the 44.5 closing total by 10.5. The total opened at 42.5 and moved up 2 points by kickoff.
How did AiQ's Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins predictions do?
AiQ finished 27–26 across all graded picks on this game. The model correctly identified the winner and total direction but was held back by the spread push and a flat player-prop record.
- Moneyline: Cincinnati Bengals at -348 — WIN (+$28.74 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: graded at -7 — PUSH
- Total: graded at 44.5 — WIN (over)
- Player props: 26–26 (–$209.78 on $100 per pick)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins player prop results
AiQ finished 26–26 on player props, netting a $209.78 loss on $100 per pick. Notable results:
- Malik Willis under 33.5 rushing yards at -114; actual 74 — LOSS
- Malik Willis under 6.5 rushing attempts at -137; actual 8 — LOSS
- Joe Burrow over 33.5 pass attempts at -102; actual 32 — LOSS
- Joe Burrow over 23.5 pass completions at -131; actual 23 — LOSS
- Ollie Gordon II over 42.5 rushing yards at -113; actual 88 — WIN
- Chase Brown over 22.5 receiving yards at -112; actual 21 — LOSS
- Malik Washington over 46.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 43 — LOSS
- Greg Dulcich over 27.5 receiving yards at -113; actual 37 — WIN
- Chase Brown under 16.5 rushing attempts at -132; actual 13 — WIN
- Mike Gesicki to record an anytime touchdown at +300; actual 1 — WIN
- Malik Willis under 194.5 passing yards at -113; actual 137 — WIN
- Dexter Lawrence II over 0.25 sacks at +102; actual 0 — LOSS
Rushing and receiving yardage totals generally fell short of the lines, though Gordon's rushing total and a few receiving props hit.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: tied, bets refunded
- First-half moneyline: Cincinnati Bengals won (paid -250)
- First-half total 22.5: Over (paid -112); 28 points scored
- Cincinnati Bengals team total 26.5: Over (paid -120); 31 points scored
- Miami Dolphins team total 18.5: Over (paid -113); 24 points scored
- First-quarter total 8.5: Over (paid -112); 14 points scored
- First-half spread Cincinnati Bengals -4.5: covered (paid +102)
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Miami Dolphins odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Cincinnati opened at -348, implying a 75% win probability after vig removal, with Miami at +282 (25%). The bookmaker's margin was 3.9%. A $100 wager on the Bengals at -348 returned $28.74 profit.
AiQ's pre-game expected value for Cincinnati at -350 was -1.1%, indicating the price was slightly unfavorable relative to the model's 77% calibrated win probability. The moneyline spread moved modestly, opening at Miami +6.5 and closing at Miami +7—a 0.5-point shift toward Cincinnati that proved prescient, as the final margin matched exactly.
Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins betting trends: 2026 season
Cincinnati sits 3–2 overall (1–1 at home, 2–1 on the road) with a 2–2–1 against-the-spread record in five games. The Bengals have hit the over in three of five total contests. Their last five results: W, L, L, W, W.
Miami remains winless at 0–5 (0–2 at home, 0–3 away) with a 1–3–1 ATS record. The Dolphins have gone under three of five totals and are mired in a five-game losing streak.
What's next for Cincinnati Bengals and Miami Dolphins?
Cincinnati travels to Baltimore to face the Ravens on Sunday, October 25. Miami heads to New York to play the Jets the same day.