Atlanta Falcons defeat New Orleans Saints 45-24: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 · NFL · Atlanta Falcons 45, New Orleans Saints 24

The Atlanta Falcons beat the New Orleans Saints 45-24 on Monday, October 5, 2026, at Caesars Superdome. The Atlanta Falcons covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 47.5, with 69 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 32-21.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints final score and game recap

The Atlanta Falcons led 14-0 after the first quarter and 24-7 at halftime. They outscored the New Orleans Saints 21-17 in the second half. They led at the end of every quarter.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Bijan Robinson (Atlanta Falcons): 19 carries for 145 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons): 15/20 passing for 223 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
Tyler Shough (New Orleans Saints): 30/48 passing for 286 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
Chris Olave (New Orleans Saints): 8 catches for 116 yards.

Who covered the spread in Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints?

The Atlanta Falcons covered the spread as 1.5-point underdogs and won outright, by 21 points.

The spread opened at New Orleans Saints -2.5 and closed at New Orleans Saints -1.5.

Did Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints go over or under the total?

The game went over: 69 points combined against a closing total of 47.5, over by 21.5. 31 of the 69 points came in the first half.

The total opened and closed at 47.5.

How did AiQ's Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints predictions do?

AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 32-21.

Moneyline: the New Orleans Saints to win at -120, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
Player props: 32-21.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints player prop results

AiQ's player prop picks went 32-21 in this game.

Chris Olave (New Orleans Saints): over 86.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 116, a win.
Bryce Lance (New Orleans Saints): under 14.5 receiving yards at -110, finished with 7, a win.
Alvin Kamara (New Orleans Saints): under 55.5 rushing + receiving yards at -115, finished with 58, a loss.
Devaughn Vele (New Orleans Saints): over 45.5 receiving yards at -111, finished with 54, a win.
Chase Young (New Orleans Saints): over 0.75 sacks at -116, finished with 0, a loss.
Brian Robinson Jr. (Atlanta Falcons): over 29.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 62, a win.
Drake London (Atlanta Falcons): over 81.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 96, a win.
Bijan Robinson (Atlanta Falcons): under 36.5 receiving yards at -115, finished with 2, a win.
Kyle Pitts Sr. (Atlanta Falcons): under 2.5 receptions at +132, finished with 3, a loss.
Juwan Johnson (New Orleans Saints): over 47.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 59, a win.
Tyler Shough (New Orleans Saints): over 17.5 rushing yards at -108, finished with 5, a loss.
Jahan Dotson (Atlanta Falcons): under 18.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 54, a loss.
41 more picks are in the record above but not listed.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints game prop results: team totals, first quarter and first half

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

New Orleans Saints team total 24.5: the under, paying -130, with 24 scored.
First-quarter total 9.5: the over, paying -115, with 14 points scored.
First-half moneyline: Atlanta Falcons won the first half, paying -115.
Atlanta Falcons team total 23.5: the over, paying -120, with 45 scored.
First-quarter moneyline: Atlanta Falcons won the first quarter, paying -108.
First-half total 23.5: the over, paying -115, with 31 points scored.
First-half spread: Atlanta Falcons -0.5 covered, paying +105.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Atlanta Falcons at -105 and the New Orleans Saints at -115. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the New Orleans Saints a 51% favorite. The Atlanta Falcons won as the underdog at -105: $95.24 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the New Orleans Saints, the price before the game was -120: priced below fair (−4.4% value).

The spread moved toward the Atlanta Falcons between the open and the close, and they covered.

Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints betting trends: 2026 season

This result left the Atlanta Falcons 2-2 in the 2026 regular season (0-1 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 2 times. That made it two straight wins for the Atlanta Falcons.

This result left the New Orleans Saints 1-3 in the 2026 regular season (0-2 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 1 time. That made it two straight losses for the New Orleans Saints.

What's next for Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints?

Next for the Atlanta Falcons: the Baltimore Ravens at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Next for the New Orleans Saints: the Minnesota Vikings at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026.