Minnesota Vikings defeat Miami Dolphins 15-10: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · NFL · Miami Dolphins 10, Minnesota Vikings 15
The Minnesota Vikings beat the Miami Dolphins 15-10 on Sunday, October 4, 2026, at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Miami Dolphins covered the spread as 10-point underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 38.5, with 25 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 25-25.
Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings final score and game recap
The Minnesota Vikings led 3-0 after the first quarter and 9-0 at halftime. The Miami Dolphins outscored the Minnesota Vikings 10-6 in the second half. The Minnesota Vikings led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Ollie Gordon II (Miami Dolphins): 9 carries for 100 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Malik Washington (Miami Dolphins): 5 catches for 67 yards.
- Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): 27/37 passing for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- T.J. Hockenson (Minnesota Vikings): 13 catches for 119 yards.
Who covered the spread in Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings?
The Miami Dolphins covered the spread as 10-point underdogs, losing by 5 points.
The spread opened at Minnesota Vikings -10.5 and closed at Minnesota Vikings -10.
Did Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings go over or under the total?
The game went under: 25 points combined against a closing total of 38.5, under by 13.5. 9 of the 25 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 38.5.
How did AiQ's Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 25-25.
- Moneyline: the Minnesota Vikings to win at -535, a win (+$18.69 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 25-25, -$271.96 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 25-25 in this game, -$271.96 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Chris Bell (Miami Dolphins): under 2.5 receptions at -106, finished with 0, a win.
- Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): under 204.5 passing yards at -113, finished with 247, a loss.
- Malik Washington (Miami Dolphins): over 49.5 rushing + receiving yards at -117, finished with 70, a win.
- Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): under 22.5 rushing yards at -116, finished with 16, a win.
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): over 169.5 passing yards at -113, finished with 85, a loss.
- Kyler Murray (Minnesota Vikings): under 229.5 passing + rushing yards at -112, finished with 263, a loss.
- Aaron Jones Sr. (Minnesota Vikings): over 66.5 rushing yards at -114, finished with 94, a win.
- Jauan Jennings (Minnesota Vikings): under 27.5 receiving yards at -114, finished with 8, a win.
- Jauan Jennings (Minnesota Vikings): under 2.5 receptions at -133, finished with 1, a win.
- Jordan Addison (Minnesota Vikings): over 62.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 52, a loss.
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins): over 204.5 passing + rushing yards at -114, finished with 96, a loss.
- T.J. Hockenson (Minnesota Vikings): under 38.5 receiving yards at -111, finished with 119, a loss.
- 38 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Minnesota Vikings team total 24.5: the under, paying -125, with 15 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Minnesota Vikings won the first half, paying -425.
- First-half total 19.5: the under, paying +102, with 9 points scored.
- First-quarter total 7.5: the under, paying -142, with 3 points scored.
- Miami Dolphins team total 13.5: the under, paying -113, with 10 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Minnesota Vikings won the first quarter, paying -285.
- First-half spread: Minnesota Vikings -6.5 covered, paying -115.
Miami Dolphins vs. Minnesota Vikings odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Miami Dolphins at +410 and the Minnesota Vikings at -560. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Minnesota Vikings a 81% favorite. The Minnesota Vikings won as the favorite at -560: $17.86 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Minnesota Vikings, the best price before the game was -510 at FanDuel: priced near fair (−0.3% value).
The spread moved toward the Miami Dolphins between the open and the close, and they covered.
Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Miami Dolphins 0-4 in the 2026 regular season (0-1 at home, 0-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 1 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times. That made it four straight losses for the Miami Dolphins.
This result left the Minnesota Vikings 4-0 in the 2026 regular season (2-0 at home, 2-0 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 1 time and under 3 times. That made it four straight wins for the Minnesota Vikings.
What's next for Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings?
Next for the Miami Dolphins: the Cincinnati Bengals at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Next for the Minnesota Vikings: at the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, October 11, 2026.