Green Bay Packers defeat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · NFL · Green Bay Packers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14
The Green Bay Packers beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14 on Sunday, October 4, 2026, at Raymond James Stadium. The Green Bay Packers covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 38.5, with 31 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 37-23.
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers final score and game recap
Neither team had scored after the first quarter. The Green Bay Packers led 10-7 at halftime. The second half was even at 7-7.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers): 22/30 passing for 197 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- Tucker Kraft (Green Bay Packers): 6 catches for 42 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- Jalon Daniels (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): 19/27 passing for 148 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions.
- Bucky Irving (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): 16 carries for 61 yards.
Who covered the spread in Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
The Green Bay Packers covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites, winning by 3 points.
The spread opened at Green Bay Packers -3.5 and closed at Green Bay Packers -2.5.
Did Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers go over or under the total?
The game went under: 31 points combined against a closing total of 38.5, under by 7.5. 17 of the 31 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 38.5.
How did AiQ's Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 37-23.
- Moneyline: the Green Bay Packers to win at -155, a win (+$64.52 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 37-23, +$612.66 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 37-23 in this game, +$612.66 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Cade Otton (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 25.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 37, a win.
- Bucky Irving (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 57.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 61, a win.
- MarShawn Lloyd (Green Bay Packers): under 33.5 rushing + receiving yards at -112, finished with 49, a loss.
- Jonnu Smith (Green Bay Packers): over 6.5 receiving yards at -109, finished with 19, a win.
- Christian Watson (Green Bay Packers): to score a touchdown at +170, a loss.
- MarShawn Lloyd (Green Bay Packers): under 23.5 rushing yards at -117, finished with 13, a win.
- Kenny Gainwell (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 1.5 receptions at -176, finished with 2, a win.
- Chris Godwin Jr. (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): over 26.5 receiving yards at -110, finished with 31, a win.
- Bucky Irving (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): under 12.5 receiving yards at -109, finished with 0, a win.
- Kenny Gainwell (Tampa Bay Buccaneers): under 27.5 rushing + receiving yards at -116, finished with 27, a win.
- Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers): under 5.5 rushing yards at -122, finished with -8, a win.
- Tucker Kraft (Green Bay Packers): under 40.5 receiving yards at -113, finished with 42, a loss.
- 48 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: the first quarter was tied, so bets were refunded.
- First-quarter total 7.5: the under, paying -155, with 0 points scored.
- Green Bay Packers team total 20.5: the under, paying -125, with 17 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Green Bay Packers won the first half, paying -130.
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers team total 18.5: the under, paying -115, with 14 scored.
- First-half total 19.5: the under, paying -105, with 17 points scored.
- First-half spread: Green Bay Packers -1.5 covered, paying -105.
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Green Bay Packers at -154 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at +125. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Green Bay Packers a 58% favorite. The Green Bay Packers won as the favorite at -154: $64.94 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Green Bay Packers, the best price before the game was -146 at FanDuel: priced near fair (−0.4% value).
The spread moved toward the Tampa Bay Buccaneers between the open and the close, and the Green Bay Packers covered.
Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Green Bay Packers 2-2 in the 2026 regular season (0-1 at home, 2-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 1 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 2 times.
This result left the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0-4 in the 2026 regular season (0-3 at home, 0-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 0 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 2 times. That made it four straight losses for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
What's next for Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Next for the Green Bay Packers: the Chicago Bears at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Next for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers: at the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday, October 8, 2026.