Indianapolis Colts defeat Washington Commanders 30-13: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 · NFL · Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13
The Indianapolis Colts beat the Washington Commanders 30-13 on Sunday, October 4, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a neutral site. The Indianapolis Colts covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 46.5, with 43 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 28-21-1 (wins, losses, pushes).
Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders final score and game recap
The Washington Commanders led 6-0 after the first quarter. The Indianapolis Colts won the second quarter 10-0 to lead 10-6 at halftime. They outscored the Washington Commanders 20-7 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts): 20 carries for 95 yards, 2 rushing touchdowns.
- Daniel Jones (Indianapolis Colts): 19/34 passing for 143 yards, 0 touchdowns, 1 interception.
- Athan Kaliakmanis (Washington Commanders): 15/33 passing for 186 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception.
- Treylon Burks (Washington Commanders): 1 catch for 47 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders?
The Indianapolis Colts covered the spread as 4.5-point favorites, winning by 17 points.
The spread opened at Indianapolis Colts -3.5 and closed at Indianapolis Colts -4.5.
Did Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders go over or under the total?
The game went under: 43 points combined against a closing total of 46.5, under by 3.5. 16 of the 43 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 47.5 and closed at 46.5.
How did AiQ's Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won, and its player props went 28-21-1 (wins, losses, pushes).
- Moneyline: the Indianapolis Colts to win at -230, a win (+$43.48 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 28-21-1 (wins, losses, pushes).
Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 28-21-1 (wins, losses, pushes) in this game.
- Josh Downs (Indianapolis Colts): over 70.5 receiving yards at -114, finished with 16, a loss.
- Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts): over 6.5 receptions at +117, finished with 5, a loss.
- Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts): to score a touchdown at +150, a loss.
- Tyler Warren (Indianapolis Colts): under 59.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 41, a win.
- Daniel Jones (Indianapolis Colts): under 222.5 passing yards at -113, finished with 143, a win.
- Daniel Jones (Indianapolis Colts): under 237.5 passing + rushing yards at -113, finished with 145, a win.
- Antonio Williams (Washington Commanders): over 2.5 receptions at -141, finished with 3, a win.
- Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts): under 93.5 rushing yards at -113, finished with 95, a loss.
- Dyami Brown (Washington Commanders): over 1.5 receptions at +132, finished with 3, a win.
- Stefon Diggs (Washington Commanders): over 5.5 receptions at -102, finished with 5, a loss.
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Washington Commanders): over 14.5 rush attempts at -118, finished with 9, a loss.
- Jonathan Taylor (Indianapolis Colts): under 119.5 rushing + receiving yards at -115, finished with 97, a win.
- 38 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Washington Commanders team total 20.5: the under, paying -111, with 13 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Indianapolis Colts won the first half, paying -192.
- First-half total 23.5: the under, paying -115, with 16 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Washington Commanders won the first quarter, paying +170.
- First-quarter total 9.5: the under, paying -108, with 6 points scored.
- First-half spread: Indianapolis Colts -3.5 covered, paying +100.
- Indianapolis Colts team total 26.5: the over, paying -113, with 30 scored.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Washington Commanders odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Indianapolis Colts at -230 and the Washington Commanders at +188. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Indianapolis Colts a 67% favorite. The Indianapolis Colts won as the favorite at -230: $43.48 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Indianapolis Colts, the best price before the game was -215 at BetRivers: priced below fair (−2.0% value).
The spread moved toward the Indianapolis Colts between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved down from 47.5 to 46.5, and the game went under.
Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Indianapolis Colts 2-2 in the 2026 regular season (1-1 at home, 1-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 2 times. That made it two straight wins for the Indianapolis Colts.
This result left the Washington Commanders 1-3 in the 2026 regular season (1-1 at home, 0-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 4 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 1 time.
What's next for Indianapolis Colts and Washington Commanders?
Next for the Indianapolis Colts: at the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Next for the Washington Commanders: the New York Giants at home on Sunday, October 11, 2026.