Kansas City Chiefs defeat Denver Broncos 31-10: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Sep 14, 2026 · NFL · Denver Broncos 10, Kansas City Chiefs 31
Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Denver Broncos 31–10 at Arrowhead Stadium, covering the –2.5 spread while the game finished under the 42.5 total.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs final score and game recap
The teams traded touchdowns in the first quarter to reach 7–7, but Kansas City pulled ahead with a second-quarter touchdown for a 14–7 halftime lead. The Chiefs dominated the second half, outscoring Denver 17–3 across the final two quarters to seal a 31–10 victory. Denver managed only a field goal in the third quarter and was shut out in the fourth.
Who covered the spread in Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs?
Kansas City Chiefs covered the –2.5 spread, winning by 21 points and comfortably beating the line. The spread remained unchanged from open to close. AiQ had taken Denver +2.5 with 59% confidence and graded the pick as a loss.
Did Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs go over or under the total?
The game went under the 42.5 total, finishing with 41 combined points. The total opened at 43.5 and moved down one point to 42.5. AiQ had selected Under 42.5 with 68% confidence, a winning pick.
How did AiQ's Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs predictions do?
AiQ finished 10–8 across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Denver Broncos +111 — LOSS
- Spread: Denver Broncos +2.5 — LOSS
- Total: Under 42.5 — WIN
- Player props: 9–6 (+$224.26 on $100 per pick at listed prices)
AiQ correctly identified the under but missed both straight-up and spread picks.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs player prop results
AiQ posted a 9–6 record on player props, netting +$224.26.
- Bo Nix under 1.5 passing touchdowns at +140; actual 1 — WIN
- Rashee Rice over 3.5 receptions at +100; actual 2 — LOSS
- Pat Bryant under 5.5 receptions at –130; actual 4 — WIN
- Noah Gray under 1.5 receptions at –125; actual 1 — WIN
- Travis Kelce over 1.5 receptions at –155; actual 3 — WIN
- Bo Nix over 2.5 rushing attempts at +130; actual 3 — WIN
- Courtland Sutton under 1.5 receptions at +130; actual 2 — LOSS
- Tyquan Thornton under 0.5 receptions at –125; actual 0 — WIN
- Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing touchdowns at –150; actual 2 — LOSS
- Xavier Worthy under 3.5 receptions at –150; actual 3 — WIN
- J.K. Dobbins under 7.5 rushing attempts at +105; actual 8 — LOSS
- Jaylen Waddle over 3.5 receptions at –115; actual 1 — LOSS
Three additional prop picks contributed to the overall 9–6 tally but are not listed individually.
Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Denver +111 and Kansas City –131, implying win probabilities of 46% for Denver and 54% for Kansas City after vig removal, with a bookmaker margin of 4.1%. Kansas City covered the –131 line, paying $76.34 on a $100 wager. AiQ's calibrated estimate was 46%, matching the market's implied probability, but the best price it identified was +116—a negative-EV offering. While the Chiefs were the favorite and won, AiQ's suggested price did not present value.
Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs betting trends: 2026 season
The Denver Broncos are 0–1 overall, 0–1 on the road, 0–1 against the spread, and 0–1 on the over/under. The Kansas City Chiefs stand 1–0 overall, 1–0 at home, 1–0 against the spread, and 1–0 on the over/under.
What's next for Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs?
The Broncos will host the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, September 20. The Chiefs return to Arrowhead Stadium the same day to welcome the Indianapolis Colts.