Las Vegas Raiders defeat Miami Dolphins 27-13: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · NFL · Miami Dolphins 13, Las Vegas Raiders 27
Las Vegas Raiders defeated the Miami Dolphins 27–13, covering the –3 spread. The game finished under the 40.5 total by half a point.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders final score and game recap
The Raiders scored first, leading 7–0 after the opening quarter. The Raiders led 17–6 at halftime. The third quarter proved decisive, with the Raiders extending their lead to 27–13. Neither team scored in the fourth quarter, sealing the 27–13 final at Allegiant Stadium on Sunday, September 13.
Who covered the spread in Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders?
The Las Vegas Raiders covered the –3 spread, winning by 14 points. The line held steady from open to close. AiQ's pick of Miami Dolphins +3 at 58% confidence resulted in a loss.
Did Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders go over or under the total?
The game went under the 40.5 total, finishing at 40 points. The total opened at 40 and moved up 0.5 to 40.5 at close. AiQ selected Under 40.5 with 58% confidence and won.
How did AiQ's Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders predictions do?
AiQ posted a 3–6 record across all graded picks:
- Moneyline: Las Vegas Raiders –166 – WIN (+$60.24 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Miami Dolphins +3 – LOSS
- Total: Under 40.5 – WIN
- Player props: 1–5 – LOSS (–$400 on $100 per pick)
The model correctly identified the Raiders to win and the under on the total but missed the spread and five of six player-prop selections.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders player prop results
AiQ went 1–5 on player props, netting a –$400 loss at $100 per pick:
- Kirk Cousins (Las Vegas Raiders) under 2.5 passing touchdowns at –115; actual 3 – LOSS
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins) over 0.5 passing touchdowns at –160; actual 0 – LOSS
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins) over 6.5 rushing attempts at –130; actual 6 – LOSS
- De'Von Achane (Miami Dolphins) under 4.5 receptions at +100; actual 4 – WIN
- Kirk Cousins (Las Vegas Raiders) over 22.5 pass completions at +110; actual 21 – LOSS
- Malik Willis (Miami Dolphins) over 28.5 pass attempts at –125; actual 27 – LOSS
Only the Achane reception line cashed; the others fell short of their thresholds.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Miami at +140 and Las Vegas at –166. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 40% for Miami and 60% for Las Vegas, with a 4.1% bookmaker margin. Las Vegas won the moneyline at –166, paying $60.24 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected-value calculation placed the Raiders at –1.7% using a –159 price, indicating the market price was slightly unfavorable to the model's estimate, though the side itself was correct.
Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders betting trends: 2026 season
Miami Dolphins sit 0–1 overall, 0–1 away, 0–1 against the spread and 0–1 on the over/under, having recorded the sole under. Las Vegas Raiders are 1–0 overall, 1–0 at home, 1–0 against the spread and 0–1 on the over/under, also posting an under in their only game.
What's next for Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders?
The Dolphins travel to face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, September 20. The Raiders head to Los Angeles to play the Chargers on the same day.