Cincinnati Bengals defeat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33-27: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Cincinnati Bengals 33
Cincinnati Bengals won 33–27, covering the -3.5 spread. The combined 60 points went over the 50.5 line.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals final score and game recap
Cincinnati dominated the first half, scoring 14 points in the opening quarter while Tampa Bay managed only a field goal. The Bengals added 10 more in the second to reach 24–10 at halftime. Tampa Bay rallied in the third quarter with 10 points to cut the deficit to 20–27. The Buccaneers scored again in the fourth to close to 27–33, but could not complete the comeback.
Who covered the spread in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals?
Cincinnati Bengals covered the -3.5 spread as the favorite, winning by 6 points. The line held steady from open to close. AiQ's spread pick of Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 at 59% confidence earned a WIN.
Did Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals go over or under the total?
The game went over the 50.5 total, finishing at 60 points—9.5 points over. AiQ had taken the Under 50.5 at 58% confidence, resulting in a LOSS.
How did AiQ's Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals predictions do?
AiQ posted a 10–3 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Cincinnati Bengals at -202 — WIN (+$49.50 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Cincinnati Bengals -3.5 — WIN
- Total: Under 50.5 — LOSS
- Player props: 8–2 (+$589.50 on $100 per pick at listed prices)
The model correctly identified the Bengals as the winner and the spread outcome but missed the high-scoring nature of the contest. Player-prop accuracy remained strong, with eight correct selections.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals player prop results
AiQ finished 8–2 on player props, netting +$589.50.
- Joe Burrow under 1.5 passing touchdowns at +125; actual 1 — WIN
- Emeka Egbuka under 7.5 receptions at -120; actual 5 — WIN
- Kenny Gainwell under 2.5 receptions at +120; actual 1 — WIN
- Cade Otton under 3.5 receptions at +130; actual 3 — WIN
- Bucky Irving under 4.5 receptions at -225; actual 7 — LOSS
- Tee Higgins over 2.5 receptions at -145; actual 3 — WIN
- Samaje Perine under 4.5 rushing attempts at -155; actual 5 — LOSS
- Bucky Irving under 9.5 rushing attempts at -115; actual 8 — WIN
- Ja'Marr Chase under 3.5 receptions at -105; actual 2 — WIN
- Chase Brown over 15.5 rushing attempts at -125; actual 16 — WIN
Most props leaned under. Two overs—Bucky Irving's receptions and Samaje Perine's rushing attempts—flipped the trend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cincinnati Bengals odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline was Tampa Bay Buccaneers +167 and Cincinnati Bengals -202, implying a 36% win probability for Tampa Bay and 64% for Cincinnati after vig removal. The vig stood at 4.3%. Cincinnati won at -202, paying $49.50 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the Bengals at -3.4% at -200, indicating a slightly negative price despite the model's confidence. The market's implied probability aligned with AiQ's calibrated estimate of 64%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals betting trends: 2026 season
The Buccaneers sit 0–1 overall, 0–1 away, 0–1 against the spread and 1–0 over/under. The Bengals are 1–0 overall, 1–0 at home, 1–0 against the spread and 1–0 over/under.
What's next for Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals?
The Buccaneers host the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, September 20. The Bengals travel to Houston to face the Texans on the same day.