Baltimore Ravens defeat Indianapolis Colts 41-23: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · NFL · Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23
Baltimore Ravens 41, Indianapolis Colts 23 – the Ravens covered the -3 spread and the game went over the 48.5 total, finishing at 64 points.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts final score and game recap
Baltimore scored 14 points in the first quarter while holding Indianapolis to 6, then added 17 more in the second to reach 31-13 at halftime. The third quarter stalled for Baltimore as the Colts clawed back to 16 points, then Baltimore added 10 points in the fourth quarter while Indianapolis scored 7. The final margin of 18 reflected a decisive first half that the Colts never recovered from.
Who covered the spread in Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts?
Baltimore Ravens covered the -3 spread, winning by 18 points and far exceeding the line. The spread opened at Indianapolis Colts +3.5 and closed at +3, with 0.5 points of late money moving toward the underdog. AiQ's spread pick was Baltimore Ravens -3 at 59% confidence – a win.
Did Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts go over or under the total?
The game went over the 48.5 total, finishing with 64 points – 15.5 points over. The total opened at 47.5 and closed at 48.5. AiQ's total pick was Under 48.5 at 62% confidence, which lost.
How did AiQ's Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts predictions do?
AiQ posted a 9-5 record across every graded pick on this game.
- Moneyline: Baltimore Ravens at -161 – WIN (+$62.11 on a $100 bet)
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens -3 – WIN
- Total: Under 48.5 – LOSS
- Player props: 7-4 (+$170.22 on $100 per pick at listed prices)
AiQ correctly identified the winner and covered the spread but missed the total, underestimating the scoring output.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 7-4, netting +$170.22.
- Rashod Bateman over 0.5 receptions at -230 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Tyler Warren over 5.5 receptions at +125 – actual 3 – LOSS
- Daniel Jones under 1.5 passing touchdowns at -275 – actual 1 – WIN
- Mark Andrews under 2.5 receptions at -140 – actual 4 – LOSS
- Josh Downs over 4.5 receptions at -155 – actual 2 – LOSS
- Zay Flowers over 4.5 receptions at -115 – actual 5 – WIN
- Lamar Jackson under 1.5 passing touchdowns at -125 – actual 1 – WIN
- Lamar Jackson over 6.5 rushing attempts at +105 – actual 7 – WIN
- Daniel Jones under 38.5 pass attempts at -120 – actual 31 – WIN
- Derrick Henry over 22.5 rushing attempts at -105 – actual 24 – WIN
- Lamar Jackson under 17.5 pass completions at -120 – actual 17 – WIN
Lamar Jackson delivered on both rushing and passing thresholds. Several receiving props fell short of their targets, while the under picks on passing volume and touchdown production held.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Indianapolis Colts odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The moneyline closed at Baltimore Ravens -161, implying a 59% win probability after removing the 4.1% vig. A $100 bet on Baltimore paid $62.11. AiQ's expected value calculation placed the Ravens at -3.5% EV at -160 (best price at BetMGM), indicating negative expected value despite the model favoring the side. The spread moved 0.5 points toward Indianapolis, yet the Ravens still covered comfortably. The total rose from 47.5 to 48.5, reflecting market anticipation of higher scoring that ultimately materialized.
Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts betting trends: 2026 season
The Ravens sit 1-0 overall, 1-0 away, 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 over the total. The Colts are 0-1 overall, 0-1 at home, 0-1 against the spread and 1-0 over the total.
What's next for Baltimore Ravens and Indianapolis Colts?
Baltimore hosts the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, September 20. Indianapolis travels to Kansas City to face the Chiefs on the same day.