Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · NCAAF
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 28, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 27. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have won 3 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders have won 4 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five.
Matchups to watch
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers averaged 21.3 points per game this season, tied for the 24th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders allowed 29.6 points per game, the 28th most.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers a 52.7% chance to beat Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -120 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -111 (−3.4% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 53.5 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 54.3 points, sits on the 53.5 line.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -1.5 a 50.5% chance to cover and Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1.5 49.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders went over the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, the underdog here. The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.