Sam Houston Bearkats vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET · AmFirst Stadium · NCAAF
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Sam Houston Bearkats at Jacksonville State Gamecocks is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at AmFirst Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Sam Houston Bearkats 16, Jacksonville State Gamecocks 33. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
Two teams heading in opposite directions meet here. The Sam Houston Bearkats have won 1 of their 8 games this season, losing the last five. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning the last five. When these teams last met, on October 9, 2025, the Jacksonville State Gamecocks won 29-27 on the road.
Matchups to watch
- An uphill climb in scoring. The Sam Houston Bearkats averaged 18.0 points per game this season, the 8th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Jacksonville State Gamecocks allowed 19.9 points per game, the 32nd fewest.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Jacksonville State Gamecocks an 88.6% chance to beat Sam Houston Bearkats. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -850, is priced below the fair price of -776 (−1.0% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 48.5 points at 48.9% and the under at 51.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 48.9 points, sits on the 48.5 line.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Sam Houston Bearkats +17 a 49.8% chance to cover and Jacksonville State Gamecocks -17 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
Recent results against the spread back the Jacksonville State Gamecocks. The Sam Houston Bearkats failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games.
Recent totals lean under. The Sam Houston Bearkats went under the total in 5 of their last 7 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.