Missouri State Bears defeat Kennesaw State Owls 24-21: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · NCAAF · Kennesaw State Owls 21, Missouri State Bears 24

Missouri State Bears defeated Kennesaw State Owls 24–21 on Wednesday at Robert W. Plaster Stadium, covering the +2.5 spread while the game finished under the 52.5 total.

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears final score and game recap

The game remained scoreless through the first quarter before Kennesaw State scored a touchdown in the second to lead 7–6 at halftime. Missouri State scored 8 points in the third quarter while Kennesaw State added 7, tying the game at 14–14. The Bears pulled away in the fourth, outscoring the Owls 10–7 to secure the three-point victory.

Kennesaw State's Rickie Collins completed 26 of 34 passes for 260 yards and one touchdown, while Dylan Gary caught 10 passes for 135 yards and a receiving score. Missouri State's Henry Belin IV went 28 of 39 for 300 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Isaiah Myers led the Bears' receiving corps with seven catches for 135 yards and two touchdowns.

Who covered the spread in Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears?

Missouri State covered as a +2.5 underdog. The line opened at +3.5 and tightened to +2.5, reflecting late money flowing toward the Bears. AiQ's spread pick graded at the closing +2.5 and won.

Did Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears go over or under the total?

The contest finished at 45 points, well under the 52.5 total. Halftime scoring sat at 13 combined points. The total opened at 51.5 and moved up a point to 52.5. AiQ's under pick at 52.5 won.

How did AiQ's Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears predictions do?

AiQ posted a 5–8 record across all graded picks. The model won the spread and total but lost the moneyline and most player props.

• Moneyline: Kennesaw State Owls at -142 – LOSS.
• Spread: Missouri State Bears +2.5 – WIN.
• Total: Under 52.5 – WIN.
• Player props: 5–7 – LOSS.

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears player prop results

AiQ went 5–7 on player props, netting a loss of $309.14 on $100 per pick.

• Isaiah Myers (Missouri State Bears) anytime touchdown +140 – 2 touchdowns – WIN.
• Rickie Collins (Kennesaw State Owls) over 221.5 passing yards -112 – 260 yards – WIN.
• Jmariyae Robinson (Missouri State Bears) under 4.5 receptions +112 – 8 receptions – LOSS.
• Isaiah Myers (Missouri State Bears) under 4.5 receptions -180 – 7 receptions – LOSS.
• Rickie Collins (Kennesaw State Owls) under 1.5 passing touchdowns -260 – 1 touchdown – WIN.
• Javon Rogers (Kennesaw State Owls) anytime touchdown +255 – 0 touchdowns – LOSS.
• Missouri State Bears Defense anytime touchdown +500 – 0 touchdowns – LOSS.
• Missouri State Bears D/ST anytime touchdown +425 – 0 touchdowns – LOSS.
• Boogie Woods III (Kennesaw State Owls) anytime touchdown -160 – 1 touchdown – WIN.
• Dillon Hipp (Missouri State Bears) anytime touchdown +500 – 0 touchdowns – LOSS.
• Rickie Collins (Kennesaw State Owls) anytime touchdown -165 – 1 touchdown – WIN.
• Latrelle Murrell (Kennesaw State Owls) anytime touchdown +195 – 0 touchdowns – LOSS.

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter

• Kennesaw State Owls team total 27.5: Under (paid -113); they scored 21.
• First-half total 26.5: Under (paid -108); 13 points were scored.
• First-half moneyline: Kennesaw State Owls won the first half (paid -135).
• First-half spread: Kennesaw State Owls -0.5 covered (paid -110).
• First-quarter moneyline: tied, bets refunded.
• Missouri State Bears team total 25.5: Under (paid -111); they scored 24.
• First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid -140); 0 points were scored.

Kennesaw State Owls vs. Missouri State Bears odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The closing moneyline sat at Kennesaw State -142 and Missouri State +119, implying a 56 percent win probability for Kennesaw State after vigorish removal. The vig sat at roughly 4.3 percent. Missouri State pulled the upset, cashing +119 for a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expected value was -3.5 percent at -137, a negative-expected-value price despite the model's 56 percent confidence in Kennesaw State. The spread softened from +3.5 to +2.5, confirming late market movement toward Missouri State, the side that ultimately covered.

Kennesaw State Owls and Missouri State Bears betting trends: 2026 season

Kennesaw State sits 1–5 overall, 1–2 at home and 0–3 on the road. They are 4–2 against the spread in six games with a recorded line and 1–5 on the over/under, hitting the over only once. The Owls have lost five straight.

Missouri State is 2–4 overall, 2–1 at home and 0–3 away. They are 2–3 against the spread in five games with a recorded line and 2–3 on the over/under in five contests. Their last five results read W, L, L, L, W.

What's next for Kennesaw State Owls and Missouri State Bears?

The Owls will host the Liberty Flames on Thursday, October 22. The Bears travel to face the Delaware Blue Hens on Tuesday, October 20.

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