Liberty Flames defeat New Mexico State Aggies 30-14: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · NCAAF · Liberty Flames 30, New Mexico State Aggies 14
The Liberty Flames beat the New Mexico State Aggies 30-14 on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Aggie Memorial Stadium. The Liberty Flames covered the spread as 14.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 46.5, with 44 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies final score and game recap
The New Mexico State Aggies led 7-3 after the first quarter. The Liberty Flames won the second quarter 13-0 to lead 16-7 at halftime. They outscored the New Mexico State Aggies 14-7 in the second half.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Deshawn Purdie (Liberty Flames): 19/28 passing for 252 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
- Makai Jackson (Liberty Flames): 6 catches for 76 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
- AJ Williams III (New Mexico State Aggies): 8 catches for 150 yards, 2 receiving touchdowns.
- Trey Hedden (New Mexico State Aggies): 19/29 passing for 256 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions.
Who covered the spread in Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies?
The Liberty Flames covered the spread as 14.5-point favorites, winning by 16 points.
The spread opened at Liberty Flames -17 and closed at Liberty Flames -14.5.
Did Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies go over or under the total?
The game went under: 44 points combined against a closing total of 46.5, under by 2.5. 23 of the 44 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 46.5.
How did AiQ's Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Liberty Flames to win at -700, a win (+$14.29 on a $100 bet).
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- New Mexico State Aggies team total 15.5: the under, paying -108, with 14 scored.
- Liberty Flames team total 30.5: the under, paying -108, with 30 scored.
- First-half moneyline: Liberty Flames won the first half, paying -520.
- First-half total 23.5: the under, paying +102, with 23 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: New Mexico State Aggies won the first quarter, paying +260.
- First-half spread: Liberty Flames -8.5 covered, paying -112.
- First-quarter total 9.5: the over, paying -140, with 10 points scored.
Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Liberty Flames at -715 and the New Mexico State Aggies at +500. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Liberty Flames a 84% favorite. The Liberty Flames won as the favorite at -715: $13.99 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Liberty Flames, the price before the game was -700: priced below fair (−0.9% value).
The spread moved toward the New Mexico State Aggies between the open and the close, and the Liberty Flames covered.
Liberty Flames and New Mexico State Aggies betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Liberty Flames 8-1 in the 2026 regular season (4-0 at home, 4-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 7 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 6 times. That made it eight straight wins for the Liberty Flames.
This result left the New Mexico State Aggies 3-6 in the 2026 regular season (2-3 at home, 1-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 9 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 6 times. That made it two straight losses for the New Mexico State Aggies.
What's next for Liberty Flames and New Mexico State Aggies?
Next for the Liberty Flames: the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at home on Saturday, November 14, 2026. Next for the New Mexico State Aggies: at the Missouri State Bears on Saturday, November 14, 2026.