James Madison Dukes defeat Georgia Southern Eagles 27-24: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · NCAAF · James Madison Dukes 27, Georgia Southern Eagles 24
James Madison defeated Georgia Southern 27–24 on Saturday, October 10 at Allen E. Paulson Stadium. Georgia Southern covered the +7 spread despite the loss, and the total finished under 51.5.
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles final score and game recap
The Dukes edged the Eagles 27–24. Georgia Southern led 7–3 after the first quarter and 10–6 at halftime. James Madison scored 14 unanswered points in the third to take a 20–10 lead. In the fourth quarter, James Madison scored 7 points and Georgia Southern scored 14 to finish 27–24.
George Pettaway led James Madison's ground game with 21 carries for 151 yards. Cole Keller caught 4 passes for 108 yards and a touchdown. Max Johnson threw for 343 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception for Georgia Southern. Josh Dallas hauled in 8 catches for 111 yards.
Who covered the spread in James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles?
Georgia Southern covered the +7 spread as an underdog in a losing effort. James Madison won by 3, leaving the Eagles to cover despite the defeat. The line opened at Georgia Southern +7.5 and closed at +7, with money moving 0.5 points toward the Eagles.
Did James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles go over or under the total?
The game finished at 51 points, 0.5 below the 51.5 total. The under cashed.
How did AiQ's James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles predictions do?
AiQ finished 2–8 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: James Madison Dukes -282 – WIN (+$35.46 on a $100 bet)
- Player props: 1–8 – LOSS (−$440 on $100 per pick)
The model won the moneyline pick but missed eight of nine player-prop selections, resulting in a net loss on those markets.
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1–8, netting a loss of $440 on $100 per pick.
- Alex Taylor anytime touchdown +150 – actual 0 – LOSS
- George Pettaway anytime touchdown -320 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Weston Bryan anytime touchdown +140 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Seth Cromwell anytime touchdown +280 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Noah Grevious anytime touchdown +400 – actual 0 – LOSS
- River Helms anytime touchdown +205 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Nick Herman anytime touchdown -110 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Michael Scott anytime touchdown +295 – actual 0 – LOSS
- Cole Keller anytime touchdown +360 – actual 1 – WIN
Only Keller's touchdown crossed his line.
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
- Georgia Southern Eagles team total 21.5: Over (paid -113); they scored 24
- First-half spread: Georgia Southern Eagles +4.5 covered (paid -120)
- First-quarter total 10.5: Under (paid -150); 10 points were scored
- First-quarter moneyline: Georgia Southern Eagles won the quarter (paid +148)
- First-half total 26.5: Under (paid -110); 16 points were scored
- James Madison Dukes team total 30.5: Under (paid -113); they scored 27
- First-half moneyline: Georgia Southern Eagles won the first half (paid +195)
James Madison Dukes vs. Georgia Southern Eagles odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The bookmakers listed James Madison Dukes at -282 and Georgia Southern Eagles at +227, implying win probabilities of 71% and 29% after vig removal. The vig on the moneyline was 4.4%. A $100 wager on the Dukes returned $35.46 profit.
AiQ's internal estimate placed the Dukes' win probability at 73%, matching the market's implied chance. However, the best available price of -275 offered negative expected value of -0.5%, so the pick was not value-positive. The spread shifted 0.5 points toward Georgia Southern, and that side ultimately covered.
James Madison Dukes and Georgia Southern Eagles betting trends: 2026 season
James Madison sits 6–0 overall, 3–0 at home and 3–0 away/neutral. In five games with a recorded spread they are 4–1 against the spread, and in six games with a total they are 3–3 over/under. The Dukes have won six straight.
Georgia Southern is 2–4 overall, 1–2 at home and 1–2 away/neutral. They stand 5–1 against the spread in six games with a recorded closing line and are 3–3 over/under in six total markets. Their last five results are loss, win, loss, loss, loss.
What's next for James Madison Dukes and Georgia Southern Eagles?
James Madison travels to App State Mountaineers on Thursday, October 22. Georgia Southern hosts App State Mountaineers on Saturday, October 31.