South Alabama Jaguars defeat Arkansas State Red Wolves 56-49: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 8, 2026 · NCAAF · South Alabama Jaguars 56, Arkansas State Red Wolves 49
The South Alabama Jaguars beat the Arkansas State Red Wolves 56-49 on Thursday, October 8, 2026, at Centennial Bank Stadium. The South Alabama Jaguars covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. The game went over the closing total of 59.5, with 105 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 9-15.
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves final score and game recap
The South Alabama Jaguars led 14-7 after the first quarter and 34-28 at halftime. They outscored the Arkansas State Red Wolves 22-21 in the second half. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- Keenan Phillips (South Alabama Jaguars): 19 carries for 157 yards, 3 rushing touchdowns.
- PJ Martin (South Alabama Jaguars): 16 carries for 95 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Trey Owens (Arkansas State Red Wolves): 32/43 passing for 418 yards, 4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions.
- Hunter Summers (Arkansas State Red Wolves): 9 catches for 145 yards, 2 receiving touchdowns.
Who covered the spread in South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves?
The South Alabama Jaguars covered the spread as 3-point underdogs and won outright, by 7 points.
The spread opened at Arkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 and closed at Arkansas State Red Wolves -3.
Did South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves go over or under the total?
The game went over: 105 points combined against a closing total of 59.5, over by 45.5. 62 of the 105 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 58.5 and closed at 59.5.
How did AiQ's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game lost, and its player props went 9-15.
- Moneyline: the Arkansas State Red Wolves to win at -162, a loss (-$100 on a $100 bet).
- Player props: 9-15, -$503.22 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves player prop results
AiQ's player prop picks went 9-15 in this game, -$503.22 on $100 a pick at the listed prices.
- Keenan Phillips (South Alabama Jaguars): to score a touchdown at -185, a win.
- PJ Martin (South Alabama Jaguars): to score a touchdown at -300, a win.
- Trey Owens (Arkansas State Red Wolves): under 1.5 passing touchdowns at -142, finished with 4, a loss.
- Trey Owens (Arkansas State Red Wolves): under 240.5 passing yards at -112, finished with 418, a loss.
- Hunter Summers (Arkansas State Red Wolves): under 52.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 145, a loss.
- Chauncy Cobb (Arkansas State Red Wolves): under 57.5 receiving yards at -112, finished with 49, a win.
- Brendan Jenkins (South Alabama Jaguars): to score a touchdown at +125, a loss.
- Brendan Jenkins (South Alabama Jaguars): under 3.5 receptions at -154, finished with 1, a win.
- Trey Owens (Arkansas State Red Wolves): under 20.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 28, a loss.
- Jared Hollins (South Alabama Jaguars): under 1.5 passing touchdowns at -168, finished with 1, a win.
- PJ Martin (South Alabama Jaguars): under 65.5 rushing yards at -112, finished with 95, a loss.
- Chauncy Cobb (Arkansas State Red Wolves): over 4.5 receptions at -142, finished with 2, a loss.
- 12 more picks are in the record above but not listed.
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter total 13.5: the over, paying -115, with 21 points scored.
- Arkansas State Red Wolves team total 31.5: the over, paying -111, with 49 scored.
- First-half total 30.5: the over, paying -105, with 62 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: South Alabama Jaguars won the first half, paying +120.
- South Alabama Jaguars team total 28.5: the over, paying -104, with 56 scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: South Alabama Jaguars won the first quarter, paying +110.
- First-half spread: South Alabama Jaguars +1.5 covered, paying -108.
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the South Alabama Jaguars at +136 and the Arkansas State Red Wolves at -164. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Arkansas State Red Wolves a 59% favorite. The South Alabama Jaguars won as the underdog at +136: $136 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Arkansas State Red Wolves, the best price before the game was -157 at Caesars: priced below fair (−3.5% value).
The spread moved toward the Arkansas State Red Wolves between the open and the close, and the South Alabama Jaguars covered. The total moved up from 58.5 to 59.5, and the game went over.
South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the South Alabama Jaguars 4-2 in the 2026 regular season (3-0 at home, 1-2 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 5 times and under 1 time. That made it two straight wins for the South Alabama Jaguars.
This result left the Arkansas State Red Wolves 2-4 in the 2026 regular season (2-1 at home, 0-3 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 2 of 6 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 3 times. That made it two straight losses for the Arkansas State Red Wolves.
What's next for South Alabama Jaguars and Arkansas State Red Wolves?
Next for the South Alabama Jaguars: at the Marshall Thundering Herd on Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Next for the Arkansas State Red Wolves: at the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Saturday, October 17, 2026.