Buffalo Bulls vs Ball State Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 11

Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ET · Scheumann Stadium · NCAAF

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals is on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at Scheumann Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Buffalo Bulls 27, Ball State Cardinals 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Buffalo Bulls have won 6 of their 9 games this season, winning the last four. The Ball State Cardinals have won 3 of their 9 games this season, winning two of the last five.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Buffalo Bulls averaged 177.2 passing yards per game this season, the 18th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Ball State Cardinals allowed 246.7 passing yards per game, the 20th most.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Buffalo Bulls a 55.6% chance to beat Ball State Cardinals. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -132 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−2.3% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 51.5 points at 48.7% and the under at 51.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 51.8 points, sits on the 51.5 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Buffalo Bulls -2.5 a 50.8% chance to cover and Ball State Cardinals +2.5 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play

Recent results against the spread back the Buffalo Bulls. The Buffalo Bulls covered the spread in 5 straight games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.