Toledo Rockets defeat Sacramento State Hornets 20-17: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Nov 4, 2026 · NCAAF · Toledo Rockets 20, Sacramento State Hornets 17
The Toledo Rockets beat the Sacramento State Hornets 20-17 on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, at Hornet Stadium. The Sacramento State Hornets covered the spread as 25.5-point underdogs. The game went under the closing total of 52.5, with 37 points combined.
Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets final score and game recap
The Toledo Rockets led 7-3 after the first quarter. The Sacramento State Hornets led 10-7 at halftime. The Toledo Rockets outscored the Sacramento State Hornets 13-7 in the second half, 10-0 in the third quarter alone. They came back from a 3-point halftime deficit.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- CJ Miller (Toledo Rockets): 27 carries for 135 yards.
- Autavius Ison (Toledo Rockets): 15 carries for 101 yards, 1 rushing touchdown.
- Raiden Brown (Sacramento State Hornets): 5 catches for 108 yards.
- Jackson Sharman (Sacramento State Hornets): 8/15 passing for 113 yards, 1 touchdown, 0 interceptions.
Who covered the spread in Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets?
The Sacramento State Hornets covered the spread as 25.5-point underdogs, losing by 3 points.
The spread opened at Toledo Rockets -26.5 and closed at Toledo Rockets -25.5.
Did Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets go over or under the total?
The game went under: 37 points combined against a closing total of 52.5, under by 15.5. 17 of the 37 points came in the first half.
The total opened at 53 and closed at 52.5.
How did AiQ's Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets predictions do?
None of AiQ's picks in this game counts toward its record.
- Moneyline: the Toledo Rockets to win at -3200, a win. A price that short stays out of AiQ's record.
Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets game prop results: first quarter, team totals and first half
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- First-quarter moneyline: Toledo Rockets won the first quarter, paying -920.
- Sacramento State Hornets team total 13.5: the over, paying -111, with 17 scored.
- First-half total 28.5: the under, paying -118, with 17 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Sacramento State Hornets won the first half, paying +900.
- First-quarter total 13.5: the under, paying -115, with 10 points scored.
- Toledo Rockets team total 38.5: the under, paying -115, with 20 scored.
- First-half spread: Sacramento State Hornets +15.5 covered, paying -112.
Toledo Rockets vs. Sacramento State Hornets odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Toledo Rockets at -2800 and the Sacramento State Hornets at +1300. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Toledo Rockets a 93% favorite. The Toledo Rockets won as the favorite at -2800: $3.57 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Toledo Rockets, the best price before the game was -2800 at Fanatics: priced near fair (−0.4% value).
The spread moved toward the Sacramento State Hornets between the open and the close, and they covered. The total moved down from 53 to 52.5, and the game went under.
Toledo Rockets and Sacramento State Hornets betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Toledo Rockets 7-2 in the 2026 regular season (4-1 at home, 3-1 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 9 games with a closing line on file, with 1 push. Their games went over the closing total 6 times and under 3 times. That made it three straight wins for the Toledo Rockets.
This result left the Sacramento State Hornets 2-8 in the 2026 regular season (2-4 at home, 0-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 4 of 10 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 7 times.
What's next for Toledo Rockets and Sacramento State Hornets?
Next for the Toledo Rockets: the Massachusetts Minutemen at home on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Next for the Sacramento State Hornets: at the Central Michigan Chippewas on Wednesday, November 11, 2026.